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View Full Version : Gallup: McCain now 4% ahead of Obama after World Tour



Little-Acorn
07-28-2008, 02:32 PM
The leftists in and out of the media have been crowing for months over polls that whow Obama's a "sure thing", he's got it "in the bag", etc. (This is after talk died down last year about Hillary's expected coronation). Now in one major poll, taken as Obama ended his World Tour, John McCain has gained 10 points on Senator Obama, and is currently four percentage points ahead.

If this trend keeps up, we may finally start hearing from liberals again, that polls don't mean anything and the the only thing that matters is the November election.

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http://blogs.usatoday.com/onpolitics/

Gains for McCain in latest USA TODAY/Gallup Poll

Republican presidential candidate John McCain moved from being behind by 6 points among "likely" voters a month ago to a 4-point lead over Democrat Barack Obama among that group in the latest USA TODAY/Gallup Poll. McCain still trails slightly among the broader universe of "registered" voters. By both measures, the race is tight.

The Friday-Sunday poll, mostly conducted as Obama was returning from his much-publicized overseas trip and released just this hour, shows McCain now ahead 49%-45% among voters that Gallup believes are most likely to go to the polls in November. In late June, he was behind among likely voters, 50%-44%.

Among registered voters, McCain still trails Obama, but by less. He is behind by 3 percentage points in the new poll (47%-44%) vs. a 6-point disadvantage (48%-42%) in late June.

Results based on the survey of 791 likely voters have margins of error of +/- 4 percentage points -- so McCain's lead is not outside that range. Results based on the survey of 900 registered voters also have margins of error of +/- 4 percentage points.

Gallup editor Frank Newport tells Jill that "registered voters are much more important at the moment," because Election Day is still 100 days away, but that the likely-voter result suggests that it may be possible for McCain to energize Republicans and turn them out this fall.

Who is a likely voter? In this poll, Frank says, that was determined by how much thought people have given to the election, how often they say they vote and whether they plan to vote in the election in November.

theHawk
07-28-2008, 03:12 PM
America is not going to vote for a shitbag liberal in as President with 50% of the vote or more. B.J. only got in with his 40% because of Perot.

Obama's only change is Bob Barr.

5stringJeff
07-28-2008, 03:35 PM
America is not going to vote for a shitbag liberal in as President with 50% of the vote or more. B.J. only got in with his 40% because of Perot.

Obama's only change is Bob Barr.

America's only hope for change is Bob Barr.

Psychoblues
07-28-2008, 03:47 PM
Here is a good place to visit if you're truly interested in polls:

http://www.usaelectionpolls.com/

They have a very good track record and they keep up with Congressional, Senatorial, state offices, etc. Lot's of stuff to look at if you are so inclined!!

theHawk
07-28-2008, 04:08 PM
America's only hope for change is Bob Barr.

He has no chance at winning. A vote for him is just a vote for Obama.

5stringJeff
07-28-2008, 04:13 PM
He has no chance at winning. A vote for him is just a vote for Obama.

No, a vote for Obama is a vote for Obama. A vote for Barr is a vote for Barr. Claiming that a vote for Barr is a vote for Obama assumes that anyone who votes for Barr would otherwise vote for McCain, if McCain and Obama were the only choices, which they are not.