Kathianne
09-12-2008, 08:59 PM
From the weathernerd; lots of links:
http://pajamasmedia.com/weathernerd/
9:27 PM EDT: This is bad:
Any hopes for Galveston and communities along Galveston Bay to avoid a catastrophic storm surge may well be over.
The latest model runs offer those areas little comfort. Far from bringing Ike inland to the east of Galveston Island, both the HWRF and GFDL models bring the hurricane over the island’s west end.
… [A] landfall on Galveston’s west end should bring enough surge to likely overtop the city’s seawall. I expect it to all but destroy most non-concrete structures not behind the seawall.
The storm surge at Galveston’s Pier 21 has already reached 8.5 feet this evening, and we’re still probably six hours from landfall, and nearly seven hours from high tide.
The storm surge will reach maximum levels, well above 20 feet most likely, along the coast of Galveston Bay. This will especially be the case on the west and north sides of the bay.
This landfall location also increases the likelihood of hurricane-force winds across more, if not most, of Harris County.
It also increases the likelihood that these people are going to die.
http://pajamasmedia.com/weathernerd/
9:27 PM EDT: This is bad:
Any hopes for Galveston and communities along Galveston Bay to avoid a catastrophic storm surge may well be over.
The latest model runs offer those areas little comfort. Far from bringing Ike inland to the east of Galveston Island, both the HWRF and GFDL models bring the hurricane over the island’s west end.
… [A] landfall on Galveston’s west end should bring enough surge to likely overtop the city’s seawall. I expect it to all but destroy most non-concrete structures not behind the seawall.
The storm surge at Galveston’s Pier 21 has already reached 8.5 feet this evening, and we’re still probably six hours from landfall, and nearly seven hours from high tide.
The storm surge will reach maximum levels, well above 20 feet most likely, along the coast of Galveston Bay. This will especially be the case on the west and north sides of the bay.
This landfall location also increases the likelihood of hurricane-force winds across more, if not most, of Harris County.
It also increases the likelihood that these people are going to die.