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View Full Version : Okay...we need to get out of Iraq NOW!



GW in Ohio
03-21-2007, 10:42 AM
Just this one incident tells you all you need to know about the kind of assholes we have put our people among over in Iraq. We need to get our people out of there now. Whatever Bush is trying to achieve in Iraq is not worth it. The people over there are not worth sacrificing any more of our young people.

Fuck them, and fuck Bush's war.

Incident: Insurgents in Iraq detonated an explosives-rigged vehicle with two children in the back seat after US soldiers let it through a Baghdad checkpoint over the weekend, a senior US military official said Tuesday.

The vehicle was stopped at the checkpoint but was allowed through when soldiers saw the children in the back, said Major General Michael Barbero of the Pentagon's Joint Staff.

"Children in the back seat lowered suspicion. We let it move through. They parked the vehicle, and the adults ran out and detonated it with the children in the back," Barbero said.

The general said it was the first time he had seen a report of insurgents using children in suicide bombings. But he said Al-Qaeda in Iraq is changing tactics in response to the tighter controls around the city.

A US defense official said the incident occurred on Sunday in Baghdad's Adhamiyah district, a mixed neighborhood adjacent to Sadr City, which is predominantly Shiite.

After going through the checkpoint, the vehicle parked next to a market across the street from a school, said the official, who asked not to be identified.

"And the two adults were seen to get out of the vehicle, and run from the vehicle, and then followed by the detonation of the vehicle," the official said.

"It killed the two children inside as well as three other civilians in the vicinity. So, a total of five killed, seven injured," the official said.

Dilloduck
03-21-2007, 11:02 AM
Just this one incident tells you all you need to know about the kind of assholes we have put our people among over in Iraq. We need to get our people out of there now. Whatever Bush is trying to achieve in Iraq is not worth it. The people over there are not worth sacrificing any more of our young people.

Fuck them, and fuck Bush's war.

Incident: Insurgents in Iraq detonated an explosives-rigged vehicle with two children in the back seat after US soldiers let it through a Baghdad checkpoint over the weekend, a senior US military official said Tuesday.

The vehicle was stopped at the checkpoint but was allowed through when soldiers saw the children in the back, said Major General Michael Barbero of the Pentagon's Joint Staff.

"Children in the back seat lowered suspicion. We let it move through. They parked the vehicle, and the adults ran out and detonated it with the children in the back," Barbero said.

The general said it was the first time he had seen a report of insurgents using children in suicide bombings. But he said Al-Qaeda in Iraq is changing tactics in response to the tighter controls around the city.

A US defense official said the incident occurred on Sunday in Baghdad's Adhamiyah district, a mixed neighborhood adjacent to Sadr City, which is predominantly Shiite.

After going through the checkpoint, the vehicle parked next to a market across the street from a school, said the official, who asked not to be identified.

"And the two adults were seen to get out of the vehicle, and run from the vehicle, and then followed by the detonation of the vehicle," the official said.

"It killed the two children inside as well as three other civilians in the vicinity. So, a total of five killed, seven injured," the official said.

Who is it that recuits, trains, supplies and pays suicide bombers and why is it so easy to get volunteers ? and you think Cheney is an idiot. :laugh2:

glockmail
03-21-2007, 11:12 AM
Just this one incident tells you all you need to know about the kind of assholes we have put our people among over in Iraq. We need to get our people out of there now. Whatever Bush is trying to achieve in Iraq is not worth it. The people over there are not worth sacrificing any more of our young people......

Good thing FDR didn't have that attitude. We'd all be speaking German, those funny little moustaches would be in style, and bagels would be illegal.

:laugh2:

Sitarro
03-21-2007, 11:13 AM
Just this one incident tells you all you need to know about the kind of assholes we have put our people among over in Iraq. We need to get our people out of there now. Whatever Bush is trying to achieve in Iraq is not worth it. The people over there are not worth sacrificing any more of our young people.

Fuck them, and fuck Bush's war.

Incident: Insurgents in Iraq detonated an explosives-rigged vehicle with two children in the back seat after US soldiers let it through a Baghdad checkpoint over the weekend, a senior US military official said Tuesday.

The vehicle was stopped at the checkpoint but was allowed through when soldiers saw the children in the back, said Major General Michael Barbero of the Pentagon's Joint Staff.

"Children in the back seat lowered suspicion. We let it move through. They parked the vehicle, and the adults ran out and detonated it with the children in the back," Barbero said.

The general said it was the first time he had seen a report of insurgents using children in suicide bombings. But he said Al-Qaeda in Iraq is changing tactics in response to the tighter controls around the city.

A US defense official said the incident occurred on Sunday in Baghdad's Adhamiyah district, a mixed neighborhood adjacent to Sadr City, which is predominantly Shiite.

After going through the checkpoint, the vehicle parked next to a market across the street from a school, said the official, who asked not to be identified.

"And the two adults were seen to get out of the vehicle, and run from the vehicle, and then followed by the detonation of the vehicle," the official said.

"It killed the two children inside as well as three other civilians in the vicinity. So, a total of five killed, seven injured," the official said.

I think your outrage is misdirected, do you think that the Iraqi people aren't outraged by this too? You are just getting what a slimey bunch of worthless shit our military is fighting? Our guys know all too well and see the need to kill every one of them, ask them.

GW in Ohio
03-21-2007, 11:31 AM
I think your outrage is misdirected, do you think that the Iraqi people aren't outraged by this too? You are just getting what a slimey bunch of worthless shit our military is fighting? Our guys know all too well and see the need to kill every one of them, ask them.

You can't kill them all. The Middle East is full of crazy assholes.

We need to disengage from the region. If we are not there, they will kill each other. So let us remove ourselves and let them go at it.

Along with removing ourselves from the region, we need to get an American president who will actively work to make us independent of Middle Eastern oil. That includes mandating automobiles that use alternative fuel sources. Those automobiles are starting to be feasible for everyone to drive.

Hobbit
03-21-2007, 11:37 AM
You can't kill them all. The Middle East is full of crazy assholes.

The world is full of crazy assholes. We have to kill the ones we can to keep the rest out of our hair. You know, I know I'll never be able to kill all the ants in the world, but I still try to kill the ones in my house, and even launched a pre-emptive campaign against the ants in my backyard. OH NOES! I CAN'T KILL TEM ALL! I MUST PULL OUT OF MY BACK YARD!


We need to disengage from the region. If we are not there, they will kill each other. So let us remove ourselves and let them go at it.

Were you awake between about 1979 and 2001. If we're not there, they'll get us here. If we don't come to the conflict, the conflict will come to us.


Along with removing ourselves from the region, we need to get an American president who will actively work to make us independent of Middle Eastern oil. That includes mandating automobiles that use alternative fuel sources. Those automobiles are starting to be feasible for everyone to drive.

That falls outside the power of the federal government. What you need to do is take PERSONAL responsibility. Give money to researchers for alternative fuels. Walk or ride a bike to work. Stop bitching at the government to do things. That's how tyranny happens. Instead, ask what YOU can do. This is a free-market economy driven by the almighty dollar, so take your dollar where you think it should be spent. If you don't want it spent on foreign oil (BTW, most of our oil comes from Canada), don't drive so much.

-Cp
03-21-2007, 12:00 PM
The world is full of crazy assholes. We have to kill the ones we can to keep the rest out of our hair. You know, I know I'll never be able to kill all the ants in the world, but I still try to kill the ones in my house, and even launched a pre-emptive campaign against the ants in my backyard. OH NOES! I CAN'T KILL TEM ALL! I MUST PULL OUT OF MY BACK YARD!

Were you awake between about 1979 and 2001. If we're not there, they'll get us here. If we don't come to the conflict, the conflict will come to us.


That falls outside the power of the federal government. What you need to do is take PERSONAL responsibility. Give money to researchers for alternative fuels. Walk or ride a bike to work. Stop bitching at the government to do things. That's how tyranny happens. Instead, ask what YOU can do. This is a free-market economy driven by the almighty dollar, so take your dollar where you think it should be spent. If you don't want it spent on foreign oil (BTW, most of our oil comes from Canada), don't drive so much.

Hobbit - you can't convince someone like Ohio to ever start using facts and reason to guide their thoughts - he uses emotion instead. Why? Because w/ libs these days it feels good to feel bad..

GW in Ohio
03-21-2007, 12:32 PM
Hobbit - you can't convince someone like Ohio to ever start using facts and reason to guide their thoughts - he uses emotion instead. Why? Because w/ libs these days it feels good to feel bad..

Facts? Like these.......?

Fact: George Bush is the most brilliant sumbitch to ever sit in the Oval Office.

Fact: Saddam Hussein was stockpiling weapons of mass destruction and actively pursuing nuclear weapons.

Fact: If we don't fight the Islamofascists in Baghdad, we'll have to fight 'em on the streets of Cleveland.

Fact: The whole world respects and admires us for invading Iraq and precipitating a civil war in that country.

Fact: Extending the tours of duty of our troops in Iraq toughened them up and built character.

Fact: When Mr. Bush was planning his Iraq invasion in '03, the generals at the Pentagon all said, "Go for it, Mr. President. You got more than enough manpower to secure that country."

Whew....I'm plumb tuckered out from carryin' around all those facts. I need a drink.....

:cheers2: :cool: :cheers2:

Sitarro
03-21-2007, 12:34 PM
You can't kill them all. The Middle East is full of crazy assholes.

We can kill enough to make it manageable. Look at this country, how many killings go on everyday?



We need to disengage from the region. If we are not there, they will kill each other. So let us remove ourselves and let them go at it.

We have interest in that region, we are not going to leave.



Along with removing ourselves from the region, we need to get an American president who will actively work to make us independent of Middle Eastern oil. That includes mandating automobiles that use alternative fuel sources. Those automobiles are starting to be feasible for everyone to drive.

So how unrealistic is that. What are we suppose to do with what we are driving today, throw it away? Tesla is about to produce a great electric sports car, it will be 100,000 dollars. What are you going to do with all of the dead batteries? Every solution has it's problems but GM is working on one of the best. A battery operated car that will go 40 miles on a charge and then a small gas motor the size of a lawnmower engine , kicks in and charges the battery. The range is around 650 miles.

The President can't mandate shit if the public doesn't want it, the marketplace will handle it. I have no doubt that there is plenty going towards research to become the first to come up with a feasable solution, that is the Capitalistic way. If you produce it and it works, they will buy.

Abbey Marie
03-21-2007, 12:52 PM
...
Along with removing ourselves from the region, we need to get an American president who will actively work to make us independent of Middle Eastern oil. That includes mandating automobiles that use alternative fuel sources. Those automobiles are starting to be feasible for everyone to drive.

Well, we can always go Commie, and buy more oil from Venezuela. :rolleyes:

glockmail
03-21-2007, 01:38 PM
You can't kill them all. The Middle East is full of crazy assholes.... Apparently, so is Ohio. :pee:

GW in Ohio
03-21-2007, 01:41 PM
That wasn't nice, glockie.

If my avatar pic looked as dumb as yours, I wouldn't be so glib.

(Yeah, I know it's a pic of that famous liberal Mike Dukakis in his goofiest moment. It's still a dumb pic. And I associate your name and that pic together.)

glockmail
03-21-2007, 01:48 PM
That wasn't nice, glockie.

If my avatar pic looked as dumb as yours, I wouldn't be so glib.

(Yeah, I know it's a pic of that famous liberal Mike Dukakis in his goofiest moment. It's still a dumb pic. And I associate your name and that pic together.)

It wasn't supposed to be nice. You're acting like a whiny fool. Try reasonng with logic instead of pure emotion.

Does this avatar make a better association for you?
:laugh2:

GW in Ohio
03-21-2007, 02:09 PM
It wasn't supposed to be nice. You're acting like a whiny fool. Try reasonng with logic instead of pure emotion.

Does this avatar make a better association for you?
:laugh2:

glockmeister: That pic is a huge improvement. But it's also tempting for your enemies to say, "Glockie....what an ass!"

glockmail
03-21-2007, 03:05 PM
glockmeister: That pic is a huge improvement. But it's also tempting for your enemies to say, "Glockie....what an ass!" lol! But I like the whole package.:salute:

loosecannon
03-21-2007, 04:00 PM
why is it so easy to get volunteers ?

The reason why it so easy to recruit suicide bombers is because life in Iraq sucks. And because in the ME martyrdom is part of the culture.

The death of JC as redemption for christians sins shares the same heritage. As does the sacrifice of life for nation Mom and Apple pie.

So sad that after killing a million Iraqis somebody finally got irate over the death of two kids.....

Well better late than never.

stephanie
03-21-2007, 04:05 PM
Remember........ALWAYS blame the United States for all the Worlds ills...

It's NEVER the fault of others...

:lame2:

Dilloduck
03-21-2007, 04:09 PM
The reason why it so easy to recruit suicide bombers is because life in Iraq sucks. And because in the ME martyrdom is part of the culture.

The death of JC as redemption for christians sins shares the same heritage. As does the sacrifice of life for nation Mom and Apple pie.

So sad that after killing a million Iraqis somebody finally got irate over the death of two kids.....

Well better late than never.

Christians don't strap bombs on themselves or thier children to intentionally kill others. Muslims do.

Gaffer
03-21-2007, 04:19 PM
Wow GW is upset over the slime in iraq killing to innocent kids. These same scum drive their cars into crowded markets and anywhere else there are large groups of people killing men, women and children.

But if you bothered to look things up a bit you would find that the iraqi's are tired of this shit and are doing something about it. The tribes are forming up with the government supplying new police and army personell and they are going after these scumbags. There were 39 killed by a tribe and police in western baghdad just yesterday.

These kinds of murders are al queda trying to get back at the iraqi's who are turning them in left and right, and in some cases the tribe militia is going after them directly.

getting all emotional and paniky over something you can't control does no good. Our soldiers are not like those little kids. They fight back and do a lot of damage. That's why they kill kids. Kids can't fight back.

The secular fighting has pretty much stopped. Now its the iraqi's verses the al queda and we are helping the iraqi's.

-Cp
03-21-2007, 05:12 PM
By his same (lack of) reasoning, then perhaps English people should've pulled out of England after their subway's were attacked by suicide bombers..

Gaffer
03-21-2007, 05:16 PM
By his same (lack of) reasoning, then perhaps English people should've pulled out of England after their subway's were attacked by suicide bombers..

By his reasoning we should have surrendered to islam following 9/11. And cops should be pulled from a crime scene and not allowed to go after criminals because they might get hurt.

Abbey Marie
03-21-2007, 05:50 PM
Remember........ALWAYS blame the United States for all the Worlds ills...

It's NEVER the fault of others...

:lame2:

Don't worry Stephanie, the MSM won't let us forget. :rolleyes:

loosecannon
03-21-2007, 10:00 PM
The secular fighting has pretty much stopped. Now its the iraqi's verses the al queda and we are helping the iraqi's.

You don't know a single thing about Iraq do you?

At first we were fighting the Republican guard. Then we had to change course and begin fighting a mix of Iraqi insurgents AQ and "Baathist dead enders" (Rummy's words not mine).

Then we had to change course again and fight Sunnis who were working side by side with AQ. And 90% of our soldiers were killed by Sunnis.

Then the civil war got into full swing, the GOP lost the congress and Bush changed course again.

Now we are supporting the Sunnis and AQ in Iraq even tho they are still killing 90% of our soldiers who die in combat.

And we have declared the Shia as our enemies even tho the Iraqi government is composed of those very people we now oppose, even tho only 3 months ago the PM of Iraq's security entourage was composed of Mehdi army militiamen, and even tho the Shia compose 60% of the entire nation that we are supposedly liberating (from their oil).

Bush has changed rationales for engaging Iraq at least five times, and has actually switched our enemies and our allies in the war at least 3 times and you still don't see the clusterfuck do you?

Bush is the worlds most dangerous flip flopper.

Why is Bush supporting AQ, the insurgents who are killing US troops and supporting terrorist cells in Afghanistan, Pakistan and Saudi Arabia?

Why is Bush supporting our enemies, the ones who attacked the US and why is Bush at war with our former allies?

loosecannon
03-21-2007, 10:05 PM
Originally Posted by stephanie
Remember........ALWAYS blame the United States for all the Worlds ills...

It's NEVER the fault of others...


RESPONSIBILTY: your life is your responsibility. Do not blame others for how your life turns out.

So naturally it ISN'T the United States' fault we are in Iraq losing a war we can not win.

It is George W Bush's fault. The Decider. Put the blame where it belongs. On Bush.

Demand that Bush be impeached and removed from office. Any patriotic American who loves the US and isn't a traitor will demand that Bush be removed from office.

loosecannon
03-21-2007, 10:11 PM
Christians don't strap bombs on themselves or thier children to intentionally kill others. Muslims do.

Sure they do, are you forgetting all about the wars in the ME.

Christians strap bombs on themselves, on their airplanes, on tanks, on ships, in the magazines of their rifles.

Christians are all about bombs and bombin, esp US christians. US Christians LUV themselves some murder and bombin and torture.

But US Christians are a little more cowardly than Islamists.

That doesn't keep em from inventin ways to kill a million innocents and never gettin a scratch on themselves.

Christians are the killinist MFers in all of history actually.

And they took the most slaves, stole the most land, and tortured the most people.

The Devil loves Christians. They do his work for him.

Hobbit
03-21-2007, 10:17 PM
Uh, cannon:

http://www.fugly.com/media/IMAGES/Stupid/bunny-pancake.jpg

Seriously, 2001: A Space Oddessy mixed with all 4 Silent Hill games and the most twisted moments of the Deus Ex and Metal Gear games would make more sense.

manu1959
03-21-2007, 10:22 PM
You can't kill them all. The Middle East is full of crazy assholes.

We need to disengage from the region. If we are not there, they will kill each other. So let us remove ourselves and let them go at it.

Along with removing ourselves from the region, we need to get an American president who will actively work to make us independent of Middle Eastern oil. That includes mandating automobiles that use alternative fuel sources. Those automobiles are starting to be feasible for everyone to drive.

uh...before we got there they were not killing each other....and before bush was elected they killed americans in lebaanon, bali, nigeria, the uss cole, tried to kill people in wtc I....i could go on but you get my point....

unfortunately us soliders are trained to kill and thus can be killed... tis thier job....us citizens are not trained to kill but can still be killed....you pick who gets killed where

manu1959
03-21-2007, 10:25 PM
Sure they do, are you forgetting all about the wars in the ME.

Christians strap bombs on themselves, on their airplanes, on tanks, on ships, in the magazines of their rifles.

Christians are all about bombs and bombin, esp US christians. US Christians LUV themselves some murder and bombin and torture.

But US Christians are a little more cowardly than Islamists.

That doesn't keep em from inventin ways to kill a million innocents and never gettin a scratch on themselves.

Christians are the killinist MFers in all of history actually.

And they took the most slaves, stole the most land, and tortured the most people.

The Devil loves Christians. They do his work for him.

really...any idea why there is moorish architecture in spain and france?....been to a christian church in the middle east?...how about a mosque in europe....

Abbey Marie
03-21-2007, 10:42 PM
RESPONSIBILTY: your life is your responsibility. Do not blame others for how your life turns out.

So naturally it ISN'T the United States' fault we are in Iraq losing a war we can not win.

It is George W Bush's fault. The Decider. Put the blame where it belongs. On Bush.

Demand that Bush be impeached and removed from office. Any patriotic American who loves the US and isn't a traitor will demand that Bush be removed from office.

Okey doke. But then we must also remove every Congressman and Congresswoman who voted for the war.

Abbey Marie
03-21-2007, 10:44 PM
Sure they do, are you forgetting all about the wars in the ME.

Christians strap bombs on themselves, on their airplanes, on tanks, on ships, in the magazines of their rifles.

Christians are all about bombs and bombin, esp US christians. US Christians LUV themselves some murder and bombin and torture.

But US Christians are a little more cowardly than Islamists.

That doesn't keep em from inventin ways to kill a million innocents and never gettin a scratch on themselves.

Christians are the killinist MFers in all of history actually.

And they took the most slaves, stole the most land, and tortured the most people.

The Devil loves Christians. They do his work for him.


LiberalNation- here's yet another post for the collection. Are you starting to see the high levels of Christianphobia, even right here on this supposedly conservative board?

Gaffer
03-21-2007, 10:52 PM
You don't know a single thing about Iraq do you?

At first we were fighting the Republican guard. Then we had to change course and begin fighting a mix of Iraqi insurgents AQ and "Baathist dead enders" (Rummy's words not mine).

Then we had to change course again and fight Sunnis who were working side by side with AQ. And 90% of our soldiers were killed by Sunnis.

Then the civil war got into full swing, the GOP lost the congress and Bush changed course again.

Now we are supporting the Sunnis and AQ in Iraq even tho they are still killing 90% of our soldiers who die in combat.

And we have declared the Shia as our enemies even tho the Iraqi government is composed of those very people we now oppose, even tho only 3 months ago the PM of Iraq's security entourage was composed of Mehdi army militiamen, and even tho the Shia compose 60% of the entire nation that we are supposedly liberating (from their oil).

Bush has changed rationales for engaging Iraq at least five times, and has actually switched our enemies and our allies in the war at least 3 times and you still don't see the clusterfuck do you?

Bush is the worlds most dangerous flip flopper.

Why is Bush supporting AQ, the insurgents who are killing US troops and supporting terrorist cells in Afghanistan, Pakistan and Saudi Arabia?

Why is Bush supporting our enemies, the ones who attacked the US and why is Bush at war with our former allies?

It's obvious from your posts I know way more about iraq than you will ever begin to know. You need to get back into the real world and see what's really going on. moveon dot org and conspiracy sites are not the place to get facts about iraq or anything else going on in the real world. Your just another one of the libs useful idiots.

Gaffer
03-21-2007, 10:57 PM
RESPONSIBILTY: your life is your responsibility. Do not blame others for how your life turns out.

So naturally it ISN'T the United States' fault we are in Iraq losing a war we can not win.

It is George W Bush's fault. The Decider. Put the blame where it belongs. On Bush.

Demand that Bush be impeached and removed from office. Any patriotic American who loves the US and isn't a traitor will demand that Bush be removed from office.

I'm a traitor then cause I ain't demanding any such thing. I will demand that you and your moonbat friends be locked away in rubber rooms and heavily sedated so you can't hurt yourself.

based on all your posts I get the feeling you hate Bush. Correct me if I'm wrong, it's just a feeling.

stephanie
03-21-2007, 11:00 PM
Okey doke. But then we must also remove every Congressman and Congresswoman who voted for the war.

WHAT?
We all know that all the Democrat congresscritter have to do, is say they we're duped, they didn't know what they we're voting for...

And that automatically absolves them from being a part of this war...:poke:

:wink2:

Gaffer
03-21-2007, 11:03 PM
Sure they do, are you forgetting all about the wars in the ME.

Christians strap bombs on themselves, on their airplanes, on tanks, on ships, in the magazines of their rifles.

Christians are all about bombs and bombin, esp US christians. US Christians LUV themselves some murder and bombin and torture.

But US Christians are a little more cowardly than Islamists.

That doesn't keep em from inventin ways to kill a million innocents and never gettin a scratch on themselves.

Christians are the killinist MFers in all of history actually.

And they took the most slaves, stole the most land, and tortured the most people.

The Devil loves Christians. They do his work for him.

So your a jihadist as well as a Bush hater. You need to brush up on your english tho. Keep the hate posts coming, we all need a good laugh. Now you'll excuse me as I have to go :pee: allah

loosecannon
03-21-2007, 11:34 PM
read em and weep, Bush ius supporting our enemies (http://www.newyorker.com/reporting/2007/03/05/070305fa_fact_hersh)

n the past few months, as the situation in Iraq has deteriorated, the Bush Administration, in both its public diplomacy and its covert operations, has significantly shifted its Middle East strategy. The “redirection,” as some inside the White House have called the new strategy, has brought the United States closer to an open confrontation with Iran and, in parts of the region, propelled it into a widening sectarian conflict between Shiite and Sunni Muslims.

To undermine Iran, which is predominantly Shiite, the Bush Administration has decided, in effect, to reconfigure its priorities in the Middle East. In Lebanon, the Administration has coöperated with Saudi Arabia’s government, which is Sunni, in clandestine operations that are intended to weaken Hezbollah, the Shiite organization that is backed by Iran. The U.S. has also taken part in clandestine operations aimed at Iran and its ally Syria. A by-product of these activities has been the bolstering of Sunni extremist groups that espouse a militant vision of Islam and are hostile to America and sympathetic to Al Qaeda.

One contradictory aspect of the new strategy is that, in Iraq, most of the insurgent violence directed at the American military has come from Sunni forces, and not from Shiites. But, from the Administration’s perspective, the most profound—and unintended—strategic consequence of the Iraq war is the empowerment of Iran. Its President, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, has made defiant pronouncements about the destruction of Israel and his country’s right to pursue its nuclear program, and last week its supreme religious leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, said on state television that “realities in the region show that the arrogant front, headed by the U.S. and its allies, will be the principal loser in the region.”

After the revolution of 1979 brought a religious government to power, the United States broke with Iran and cultivated closer relations with the leaders of Sunni Arab states such as Jordan, Egypt, and Saudi Arabia. That calculation became more complex after the September 11th attacks, especially with regard to the Saudis. Al Qaeda is Sunni, and many of its operatives came from extremist religious circles inside Saudi Arabia. Before the invasion of Iraq, in 2003, Administration officials, influenced by neoconservative ideologues, assumed that a Shiite government there could provide a pro-American balance to Sunni extremists, since Iraq’s Shiite majority had been oppressed under Saddam Hussein. They ignored warnings from the intelligence community about the ties between Iraqi Shiite leaders and Iran, where some had lived in exile for years. Now, to the distress of the White House, Iran has forged a close relationship with the Shiite-dominated government of Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki.

The new American policy, in its broad outlines, has been discussed publicly. In testimony before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee in January, Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice said that there is “a new strategic alignment in the Middle East,” separating “reformers” and “extremists”; she pointed to the Sunni states as centers of moderation, and said that Iran, Syria, and Hezbollah were “on the other side of that divide.” (Syria’s Sunni majority is dominated by the Alawi sect.) Iran and Syria, she said, “have made their choice and their choice is to destabilize.”


from the issuecartoon banke-mail thisSome of the core tactics of the redirection are not public, however. The clandestine operations have been kept secret, in some cases, by leaving the execution or the funding to the Saudis, or by finding other ways to work around the normal congressional appropriations process, current and former officials close to the Administration said.

A senior member of the House Appropriations Committee told me that he had heard about the new strategy, but felt that he and his colleagues had not been adequately briefed. “We haven’t got any of this,” he said. “We ask for anything going on, and they say there’s nothing. And when we ask specific questions they say, ‘We’re going to get back to you.’ It’s so frustrating.”

The key players behind the redirection are Vice-President Dick Cheney, the deputy national-security adviser Elliott Abrams, the departing Ambassador to Iraq (and nominee for United Nations Ambassador), Zalmay Khalilzad, and Prince Bandar bin Sultan, the Saudi national-security adviser. While Rice has been deeply involved in shaping the public policy, former and current officials said that the clandestine side has been guided by Cheney. (Cheney’s office and the White House declined to comment for this story; the Pentagon did not respond to specific queries but said, “The United States is not planning to go to war with Iran.”)

The policy shift has brought Saudi Arabia and Israel into a new strategic embrace, largely because both countries see Iran as an existential threat. They have been involved in direct talks, and the Saudis, who believe that greater stability in Israel and Palestine will give Iran less leverage in the region, have become more involved in Arab-Israeli negotiations.

The new strategy “is a major shift in American policy—it’s a sea change,” a U.S. government consultant with close ties to Israel said. The Sunni states “were petrified of a Shiite resurgence, and there was growing resentment with our gambling on the moderate Shiites in Iraq,” he said. “We cannot reverse the Shiite gain in Iraq, but we can contain it.”

“It seems there has been a debate inside the government over what’s the biggest danger—Iran or Sunni radicals,” Vali Nasr, a senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations, who has written widely on Shiites, Iran, and Iraq, told me. “The Saudis and some in the Administration have been arguing that the biggest threat is Iran and the Sunni radicals are the lesser enemies. This is a victory for the Saudi line.”

Martin Indyk, a senior State Department official in the Clinton Administration who also served as Ambassador to Israel, said that “the Middle East is heading into a serious Sunni-Shiite Cold War.” Indyk, who is the director of the Saban Center for Middle East Policy at the Brookings Institution, added that, in his opinion, it was not clear whether the White House was fully aware of the strategic implications of its new policy. “The White House is not just doubling the bet in Iraq,” he said. “It’s doubling the bet across the region. This could get very complicated. Everything is upside down.”

The Administration’s new policy for containing Iran seems to complicate its strategy for winning the war in Iraq. Patrick Clawson, an expert on Iran and the deputy director for research at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, argued, however, that closer ties between the United States and moderate or even radical Sunnis could put “fear” into the government of Prime Minister Maliki and “make him worry that the Sunnis could actually win” the civil war there. Clawson said that this might give Maliki an incentive to coöperate with the United States in suppressing radical Shiite militias, such as Moqtada al-Sadr’s Mahdi Army.

Even so, for the moment, the U.S. remains dependent on the coöperation of Iraqi Shiite leaders. The Mahdi Army may be openly hostile to American interests, but other Shiite militias are counted as U.S. allies. Both Moqtada al-Sadr and the White House back Maliki. A memorandum written late last year by Stephen Hadley, the national-security adviser, suggested that the Administration try to separate Maliki from his more radical Shiite allies by building his base among moderate Sunnis and Kurds, but so far the trends have been in the opposite direction. As the Iraqi Army continues to founder in its confrontations with insurgents, the power of the Shiite militias has steadily increased.

Flynt Leverett, a former Bush Administration National Security Council official, told me that “there is nothing coincidental or ironic” about the new strategy with regard to Iraq. “The Administration is trying to make a case that Iran is more dangerous and more provocative than the Sunni insurgents to American interests in Iraq, when—if you look at the actual casualty numbers—the punishment inflicted on America by the Sunnis is greater by an order of magnitude,” Leverett said. “This is all part of the campaign of provocative steps to increase the pressure on Iran. The idea is that at some point the Iranians will respond and then the Administration will have an open door to strike at them.”

President George W. Bush, in a speech on January 10th, partially spelled out this approach. “These two regimes”—Iran and Syria—“are allowing terrorists and insurgents to use their territory to move in and out of Iraq,” Bush said. “Iran is providing material support for attacks on American troops. We will disrupt the attacks on our forces. We’ll interrupt the flow of support from Iran and Syria. And we will seek out and destroy the networks providing advanced weaponry and training to our enemies in Iraq.”

In the following weeks, there was a wave of allegations from the Administration about Iranian involvement in the Iraq war. On February 11th, reporters were shown sophisticated explosive devices, captured in Iraq, that the Administration claimed had come from Iran. The Administration’s message was, in essence, that the bleak situation in Iraq was the result not of its own failures of planning and execution but of Iran’s interference.

The U.S. military also has arrested and interrogated hundreds of Iranians in Iraq. “The word went out last August for the military to snatch as many Iranians in Iraq as they can,” a former senior intelligence official said. “They had five hundred locked up at one time. We’re working these guys and getting information from them. The White House goal is to build a case that the Iranians have been fomenting the insurgency and they’ve been doing it all along—that Iran is, in fact, supporting the killing of Americans.” The Pentagon consultant confirmed that hundreds of Iranians have been captured by American forces in recent months. But he told me that that total includes many Iranian humanitarian and aid workers who “get scooped up and released in a short time,” after they have been interrogated.

“We are not planning for a war with Iran,” Robert Gates, the new Defense Secretary, announced on February 2nd, and yet the atmosphere of confrontation has deepened. According to current and former American intelligence and military officials, secret operations in Lebanon have been accompanied by clandestine operations targeting Iran. American military and special-operations teams have escalated their activities in Iran to gather intelligence and, according to a Pentagon consultant on terrorism and the former senior intelligence official, have also crossed the border in pursuit of Iranian operatives from Iraq.

At Rice’s Senate appearance in January, Democratic Senator Joseph Biden, of Delaware, pointedly asked her whether the U.S. planned to cross the Iranian or the Syrian border in the course of a pursuit. “Obviously, the President isn’t going to rule anything out to protect our troops, but the plan is to take down these networks in Iraq,” Rice said, adding, “I do think that everyone will understand that—the American people and I assume the Congress expect the President to do what is necessary to protect our forces.”

The ambiguity of Rice’s reply prompted a response from Nebraska Senator Chuck Hagel, a Republican, who has been critical of the Administration:




Some of us remember 1970, Madam Secretary. And that was Cambodia. And when our government lied to the American people and said, “We didn’t cross the border going into Cambodia,” in fact we did.

I happen to know something about that, as do some on this committee. So, Madam Secretary, when you set in motion the kind of policy that the President is talking about here, it’s very, very dangerous.



The Administration’s concern about Iran’s role in Iraq is coupled with its long-standing alarm over Iran’s nuclear program. On Fox News on January 14th, Cheney warned of the possibility, in a few years, “of a nuclear-armed Iran, astride the world’s supply of oil, able to affect adversely the global economy, prepared to use terrorist organizations and/or their nuclear weapons to threaten their neighbors and others around the world.” He also said, “If you go and talk with the Gulf states or if you talk with the Saudis or if you talk with the Israelis or the Jordanians, the entire region is worried… . The threat Iran represents is growing.”

The Administration is now examining a wave of new intelligence on Iran’s weapons programs. Current and former American officials told me that the intelligence, which came from Israeli agents operating in Iran, includes a claim that Iran has developed a three-stage solid-fuelled intercontinental missile capable of delivering several small warheads—each with limited accuracy—inside Europe. The validity of this human intelligence is still being debated.

A similar argument about an imminent threat posed by weapons of mass destruction—and questions about the intelligence used to make that case—formed the prelude to the invasion of Iraq. Many in Congress have greeted the claims about Iran with wariness; in the Senate on February 14th, Hillary Clinton said, “We have all learned lessons from the conflict in Iraq, and we have to apply those lessons to any allegations that are being raised about Iran. Because, Mr. President, what we are hearing has too familiar a ring and we must be on guard that we never again make decisions on the basis of intelligence that turns out to be faulty.”

Still, the Pentagon is continuing intensive planning for a possible bombing attack on Iran, a process that began last year, at the direction of the President. In recent months, the former intelligence official told me, a special planning group has been established in the offices of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, charged with creating a contingency bombing plan for Iran that can be implemented, upon orders from the President, within twenty-four hours.

In the past month, I was told by an Air Force adviser on targeting and the Pentagon consultant on terrorism, the Iran planning group has been handed a new assignment: to identify targets in Iran that may be involved in supplying or aiding militants in Iraq. Previously, the focus had been on the destruction of Iran’s nuclear facilities and possible regime change.

Two carrier strike groups—the Eisenhower and the Stennis—are now in the Arabian Sea. One plan is for them to be relieved early in the spring, but there is worry within the military that they may be ordered to stay in the area after the new carriers arrive, according to several sources. (Among other concerns, war games have shown that the carriers could be vulnerable to swarming tactics involving large numbers of small boats, a technique that the Iranians have practiced in the past; carriers have limited maneuverability in the narrow Strait of Hormuz, off Iran’s southern coast.) The former senior intelligence official said that the current contingency plans allow for an attack order this spring. He added, however, that senior officers on the Joint Chiefs were counting on the White House’s not being “foolish enough to do this in the face of Iraq, and the problems it would give the Republicans in 2008.”



PRINCE BANDAR’S GAME



The Administration’s effort to diminish Iranian authority in the Middle East has relied heavily on Saudi Arabia and on Prince Bandar, the Saudi national-security adviser. Bandar served as the Ambassador to the United States for twenty-two years, until 2005, and has maintained a friendship with President Bush and Vice-President Cheney. In his new post, he continues to meet privately with them. Senior White House officials have made several visits to Saudi Arabia recently, some of them not disclosed.

Last November, Cheney flew to Saudi Arabia for a surprise meeting with King Abdullah and Bandar. The Times reported that the King warned Cheney that Saudi Arabia would back its fellow-Sunnis in Iraq if the United States were to withdraw. A European intelligence official told me that the meeting also focussed on more general Saudi fears about “the rise of the Shiites.” In response, “The Saudis are starting to use their leverage—money.”

In a royal family rife with competition, Bandar has, over the years, built a power base that relies largely on his close relationship with the U.S., which is crucial to the Saudis. Bandar was succeeded as Ambassador by Prince Turki al-Faisal; Turki resigned after eighteen months and was replaced by Adel A. al-Jubeir, a bureaucrat who has worked with Bandar. A former Saudi diplomat told me that during Turki’s tenure he became aware of private meetings involving Bandar and senior White House officials, including Cheney and Abrams. “I assume Turki was not happy with that,” the Saudi said. But, he added, “I don’t think that Bandar is going off on his own.” Although Turki dislikes Bandar, the Saudi said, he shared his goal of challenging the spread of Shiite power in the Middle East.

The split between Shiites and Sunnis goes back to a bitter divide, in the seventh century, over who should succeed the Prophet Muhammad. Sunnis dominated the medieval caliphate and the Ottoman Empire, and Shiites, traditionally, have been regarded more as outsiders. Worldwide, ninety per cent of Muslims are Sunni, but Shiites are a majority in Iran, Iraq, and Bahrain, and are the largest Muslim group in Lebanon. Their concentration in a volatile, oil-rich region has led to concern in the West and among Sunnis about the emergence of a “Shiite crescent”—especially given Iran’s increased geopolitical weight.

“The Saudis still see the world through the days of the Ottoman Empire, when Sunni Muslims ruled the roost and the Shiites were the lowest class,” Frederic Hof, a retired military officer who is an expert on the Middle East, told me. If Bandar was seen as bringing about a shift in U.S. policy in favor of the Sunnis, he added, it would greatly enhance his standing within the royal family.

The Saudis are driven by their fear that Iran could tilt the balance of power not only in the region but within their own country. Saudi Arabia has a significant Shiite minority in its Eastern Province, a region of major oil fields; sectarian tensions are high in the province. The royal family believes that Iranian operatives, working with local Shiites, have been behind many terrorist attacks inside the kingdom, according to Vali Nasr. “Today, the only army capable of containing Iran”—the Iraqi Army—“has been destroyed by the United States. You’re now dealing with an Iran that could be nuclear-capable and has a standing army of four hundred and fifty thousand soldiers.” (Saudi Arabia has seventy-five thousand troops in its standing army.)

Nasr went on, “The Saudis have considerable financial means, and have deep relations with the Muslim Brotherhood and the Salafis”—Sunni extremists who view Shiites as apostates. “The last time Iran was a threat, the Saudis were able to mobilize the worst kinds of Islamic radicals. Once you get them out of the box, you can’t put them back.”

The Saudi royal family has been, by turns, both a sponsor and a target of Sunni extremists, who object to the corruption and decadence among the family’s myriad princes. The princes are gambling that they will not be overthrown as long as they continue to support religious schools and charities linked to the extremists. The Administration’s new strategy is heavily dependent on this bargain.

Nasr compared the current situation to the period in which Al Qaeda first emerged. In the nineteen-eighties and the early nineties, the Saudi government offered to subsidize the covert American C.I.A. proxy war against the Soviet Union in Afghanistan. Hundreds of young Saudis were sent into the border areas of Pakistan, where they set up religious schools, training bases, and recruiting facilities. Then, as now, many of the operatives who were paid with Saudi money were Salafis. Among them, of course, were Osama bin Laden and his associates, who founded Al Qaeda, in 1988.

This time, the U.S. government consultant told me, Bandar and other Saudis have assured the White House that “they will keep a very close eye on the religious fundamentalists. Their message to us was ‘We’ve created this movement, and we can control it.’ It’s not that we don’t want the Salafis to throw bombs; it’s who they throw them at—Hezbollah, Moqtada al-Sadr, Iran, and at the Syrians, if they continue to work with Hezbollah and Iran.”

The Saudi said that, in his country’s view, it was taking a political risk by joining the U.S. in challenging Iran: Bandar is already seen in the Arab world as being too close to the Bush Administration. “We have two nightmares,” the former diplomat told me. “For Iran to acquire the bomb and for the United States to attack Iran. I’d rather the Israelis bomb the Iranians, so we can blame them. If America does it, we will be blamed.”

In the past year, the Saudis, the Israelis, and the Bush Administration have developed a series of informal understandings about their new strategic direction. At least four main elements were involved, the U.S. government consultant told me. First, Israel would be assured that its security was paramount and that Washington and Saudi Arabia and other Sunni states shared its concern about Iran.

Second, the Saudis would urge Hamas, the Islamist Palestinian party that has received support from Iran, to curtail its anti-Israeli aggression and to begin serious talks about sharing leadership with Fatah, the more secular Palestinian group. (In February, the Saudis brokered a deal at Mecca between the two factions. However, Israel and the U.S. have expressed dissatisfaction with the terms.)

The third component was that the Bush Administration would work directly with Sunni nations to counteract Shiite ascendance in the region.

Fourth, the Saudi government, with Washington’s approval, would provide funds and logistical aid to weaken the government of President Bashir Assad, of Syria. The Israelis believe that putting such pressure on the Assad government will make it more conciliatory and open to negotiations. Syria is a major conduit of arms to Hezbollah. The Saudi government is also at odds with the Syrians over the assassination of Rafik Hariri, the former Lebanese Prime Minister, in Beirut in 2005, for which it believes the Assad government was responsible. Hariri, a billionaire Sunni, was closely associated with the Saudi regime and with Prince Bandar. (A U.N. inquiry strongly suggested that the Syrians were involved, but offered no direct evidence; there are plans for another investigation, by an international tribunal.)

Patrick Clawson, of the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, depicted the Saudis’ coöperation with the White House as a significant breakthrough. “The Saudis understand that if they want the Administration to make a more generous political offer to the Palestinians they have to persuade the Arab states to make a more generous offer to the Israelis,” Clawson told me. The new diplomatic approach, he added, “shows a real degree of effort and sophistication as well as a deftness of touch not always associated with this Administration. Who’s running the greater risk—we or the Saudis? At a time when America’s standing in the Middle East is extremely low, the Saudis are actually embracing us. We should count our blessings.”

The Pentagon consultant had a different view. He said that the Administration had turned to Bandar as a “fallback,” because it had realized that the failing war in Iraq could leave the Middle East “up for grabs.”



JIHADIS IN LEBANON



The focus of the U.S.-Saudi relationship, after Iran, is Lebanon, where the Saudis have been deeply involved in efforts by the Administration to support the Lebanese government. Prime Minister Fouad Siniora is struggling to stay in power against a persistent opposition led by Hezbollah, the Shiite organization, and its leader, Sheikh Hassan Nasrallah. Hezbollah has an extensive infrastructure, an estimated two to three thousand active fighters, and thousands of additional members.

Hezbollah has been on the State Department’s terrorist list since 1997. The organization has been implicated in the 1983 bombing of a Marine barracks in Beirut that killed two hundred and forty-one military men. It has also been accused of complicity in the kidnapping of Americans, including the C.I.A. station chief in Lebanon, who died in captivity, and a Marine colonel serving on a U.N. peacekeeping mission, who was killed. (Nasrallah has denied that the group was involved in these incidents.) Nasrallah is seen by many as a staunch terrorist, who has said that he regards Israel as a state that has no right to exist. Many in the Arab world, however, especially Shiites, view him as a resistance leader who withstood Israel in last summer’s thirty-three-day war, and Siniora as a weak politician who relies on America’s support but was unable to persuade President Bush to call for an end to the Israeli bombing of Lebanon. (Photographs of Siniora kissing Condoleezza Rice on the cheek when she visited during the war were prominently displayed during street protests in Beirut.)

The Bush Administration has publicly pledged the Siniora government a billion dollars in aid since last summer. A donors’ conference in Paris, in January, which the U.S. helped organize, yielded pledges of almost eight billion more, including a promise of more than a billion from the Saudis. The American pledge includes more than two hundred million dollars in military aid, and forty million dollars for internal security.

The United States has also given clandestine support to the Siniora government, according to the former senior intelligence official and the U.S. government consultant. “We are in a program to enhance the Sunni capability to resist Shiite influence, and we’re spreading the money around as much as we can,” the former senior intelligence official said. The problem was that such money “always gets in more pockets than you think it will,” he said. “In this process, we’re financing a lot of bad guys with some serious potential unintended consequences. We don’t have the ability to determine and get pay vouchers signed by the people we like and avoid the people we don’t like. It’s a very high-risk venture.”

American, European, and Arab officials I spoke to told me that the Siniora government and its allies had allowed some aid to end up in the hands of emerging Sunni radical groups in northern Lebanon, the Bekaa Valley, and around Palestinian refugee camps in the south. These groups, though small, are seen as a buffer to Hezbollah; at the same time, their ideological ties are with Al Qaeda.

During a conversation with me, the former Saudi diplomat accused Nasrallah of attempting “to hijack the state,” but he also objected to the Lebanese and Saudi sponsorship of Sunni jihadists in Lebanon. “Salafis are sick and hateful, and I’m very much against the idea of flirting with them,” he said. “They hate the Shiites, but they hate Americans more. If you try to outsmart them, they will outsmart us. It will be ugly.”

Alastair Crooke, who spent nearly thirty years in MI6, the British intelligence service, and now works for Conflicts Forum, a think tank in Beirut, told me, “The Lebanese government is opening space for these people to come in. It could be very dangerous.” Crooke said that one Sunni extremist group, Fatah al-Islam, had splintered from its pro-Syrian parent group, Fatah al-Intifada, in the Nahr al-Bared refugee camp, in northern Lebanon. Its membership at the time was less than two hundred. “I was told that within twenty-four hours they were being offered weapons and money by people presenting themselves as representatives of the Lebanese government’s interests—presumably to take on Hezbollah,” Crooke said.

The largest of the groups, Asbat al-Ansar, is situated in the Ain al-Hilweh Palestinian refugee camp. Asbat al-Ansar has received arms and supplies from Lebanese internal-security forces and militias associated with the Siniora government.

In 2005, according to a report by the U.S.-based International Crisis Group, Saad Hariri, the Sunni majority leader of the Lebanese parliament and the son of the slain former Prime Minister—Saad inherited more than four billion dollars after his father’s assassination—paid forty-eight thousand dollars in bail for four members of an Islamic militant group from Dinniyeh. The men had been arrested while trying to establish an Islamic mini-state in northern Lebanon. The Crisis Group noted that many of the militants “had trained in al-Qaeda camps in Afghanistan.”

According to the Crisis Group report, Saad Hariri later used his parliamentary majority to obtain amnesty for twenty-two of the Dinniyeh Islamists, as well as for seven militants suspected of plotting to bomb the Italian and Ukrainian embassies in Beirut, the previous year. (He also arranged a pardon for Samir Geagea, a Maronite Christian militia leader, who had been convicted of four political murders, including the assassination, in 1987, of Prime Minister Rashid Karami.) Hariri described his actions to reporters as humanitarian.

In an interview in Beirut, a senior official in the Siniora government acknowledged that there were Sunni jihadists operating inside Lebanon. “We have a liberal attitude that allows Al Qaeda types to have a presence here,” he said. He related this to concerns that Iran or Syria might decide to turn Lebanon into a “theatre of conflict.”

The official said that his government was in a no-win situation. Without a political settlement with Hezbollah, he said, Lebanon could “slide into a conflict,” in which Hezbollah fought openly with Sunni forces, with potentially horrific consequences. But if Hezbollah agreed to a settlement yet still maintained a separate army, allied with Iran and Syria, “Lebanon could become a target. In both cases, we become a target.”

The Bush Administration has portrayed its support of the Siniora government as an example of the President’s belief in democracy, and his desire to prevent other powers from interfering in Lebanon. When Hezbollah led street demonstrations in Beirut in December, John Bolton, who was then the U.S. Ambassador to the U.N., called them “part of the Iran-Syria-inspired coup.”

Leslie H. Gelb, a past president of the Council on Foreign Relations, said that the Administration’s policy was less pro democracy than “pro American national security. The fact is that it would be terribly dangerous if Hezbollah ran Lebanon.” The fall of the Siniora government would be seen, Gelb said, “as a signal in the Middle East of the decline of the United States and the ascendancy of the terrorism threat. And so any change in the distribution of political power in Lebanon has to be opposed by the United States—and we’re justified in helping any non-Shiite parties resist that change. We should say this publicly, instead of talking about democracy.”

Martin Indyk, of the Saban Center, said, however, that the United States “does not have enough pull to stop the moderates in Lebanon from dealing with the extremists.” He added, “The President sees the region as divided between moderates and extremists, but our regional friends see it as divided between Sunnis and Shia. The Sunnis that we view as extremists are regarded by our Sunni allies simply as Sunnis.”

In January, after an outburst of street violence in Beirut involving supporters of both the Siniora government and Hezbollah, Prince Bandar flew to Tehran to discuss the political impasse in Lebanon and to meet with Ali Larijani, the Iranians’ negotiator on nuclear issues. According to a Middle Eastern ambassador, Bandar’s mission—which the ambassador said was endorsed by the White House—also aimed “to create problems between the Iranians and Syria.” There had been tensions between the two countries about Syrian talks with Israel, and the Saudis’ goal was to encourage a breach. However, the ambassador said, “It did not work. Syria and Iran are not going to betray each other. Bandar’s approach is very unlikely to succeed.”

Walid Jumblatt, who is the leader of the Druze minority in Lebanon and a strong Siniora supporter, has attacked Nasrallah as an agent of Syria, and has repeatedly told foreign journalists that Hezbollah is under the direct control of the religious leadership in Iran. In a conversation with me last December, he depicted Bashir Assad, the Syrian President, as a “serial killer.” Nasrallah, he said, was “morally guilty” of the assassination of Rafik Hariri and the murder, last November, of Pierre Gemayel, a member of the Siniora Cabinet, because of his support for the Syrians.

Jumblatt then told me that he had met with Vice-President Cheney in Washington last fall to discuss, among other issues, the possibility of undermining Assad. He and his colleagues advised Cheney that, if the United States does try to move against Syria, members of the Syrian Muslim Brotherhood would be “the ones to talk to,” Jumblatt said.

The Syrian Muslim Brotherhood, a branch of a radical Sunni movement founded in Egypt in 1928, engaged in more than a decade of violent opposition to the regime of Hafez Assad, Bashir’s father. In 1982, the Brotherhood took control of the city of Hama; Assad bombarded the city for a week, killing between six thousand and twenty thousand people. Membership in the Brotherhood is punishable by death in Syria. The Brotherhood is also an avowed enemy of the U.S. and of Israel. Nevertheless, Jumblatt said, “We told Cheney that the basic link between Iran and Lebanon is Syria—and to weaken Iran you need to open the door to effective Syrian opposition.”

There is evidence that the Administration’s redirection strategy has already benefitted the Brotherhood. The Syrian National Salvation Front is a coalition of opposition groups whose principal members are a faction led by Abdul Halim Khaddam, a former Syrian Vice-President who defected in 2005, and the Brotherhood. A former high-ranking C.I.A. officer told me, “The Americans have provided both political and financial support. The Saudis are taking the lead with financial support, but there is American involvement.” He said that Khaddam, who now lives in Paris, was getting money from Saudi Arabia, with the knowledge of the White House. (In 2005, a delegation of the Front’s members met with officials from the National Security Council, according to press reports.) A former White House official told me that the Saudis had provided members of the Front with travel documents.

Jumblatt said he understood that the issue was a sensitive one for the White House. “I told Cheney that some people in the Arab world, mainly the Egyptians”—whose moderate Sunni leadership has been fighting the Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood for decades—“won’t like it if the United States helps the Brotherhood. But if you don’t take on Syria we will be face to face in Lebanon with Hezbollah in a long fight, and one we might not win.”



THE SHEIKH



On a warm, clear night early last December, in a bombed-out suburb a few miles south of downtown Beirut, I got a preview of how the Administration’s new strategy might play out in Lebanon. Sheikh Hassan Nasrallah, the Hezbollah leader, who has been in hiding, had agreed to an interview. Security arrangements for the meeting were secretive and elaborate. I was driven, in the back seat of a darkened car, to a damaged underground garage somewhere in Beirut, searched with a handheld scanner, placed in a second car to be driven to yet another bomb-scarred underground garage, and transferred again. Last summer, it was reported that Israel was trying to kill Nasrallah, but the extraordinary precautions were not due only to that threat. Nasrallah’s aides told me that they believe he is a prime target of fellow-Arabs, primarily Jordanian intelligence operatives, as well as Sunni jihadists who they believe are affiliated with Al Qaeda. (The government consultant and a retired four-star general said that Jordanian intelligence, with support from the U.S. and Israel, had been trying to infiltrate Shiite groups, to work against Hezbollah. Jordan’s King Abdullah II has warned that a Shiite government in Iraq that was close to Iran would lead to the emergence of a Shiite crescent.) This is something of an ironic turn: Nasrallah’s battle with Israel last summer turned him—a Shiite—into the most popular and influential figure among Sunnis and Shiites throughout the region. In recent months, however, he has increasingly been seen by many Sunnis not as a symbol of Arab unity but as a participant in a sectarian war.

Nasrallah, dressed, as usual, in religious garb, was waiting for me in an unremarkable apartment. One of his advisers said that he was not likely to remain there overnight; he has been on the move since his decision, last July, to order the kidnapping of two Israeli soldiers in a cross-border raid set off the thirty-three-day war. Nasrallah has since said publicly—and repeated to me—that he misjudged the Israeli response. “We just wanted to capture prisoners for exchange purposes,” he told me. “We never wanted to drag the region into war.”

Nasrallah accused the Bush Administration of working with Israel to deliberately instigate fitna, an Arabic word that is used to mean “insurrection and fragmentation within Islam.” “In my opinion, there is a huge campaign through the media throughout the world to put each side up against the other,” he said. “I believe that all this is being run by American and Israeli intelligence.” (He did not provide any specific evidence for this.) He said that the U.S. war in Iraq had increased sectarian tensions, but argued that Hezbollah had tried to prevent them from spreading into Lebanon. (Sunni-Shiite confrontations increased, along with violence, in the weeks after we talked.)

Nasrallah said he believed that President Bush’s goal was “the drawing of a new map for the region. They want the partition of Iraq. Iraq is not on the edge of a civil war—there is a civil war. There is ethnic and sectarian cleansing. The daily killing and displacement which is taking place in Iraq aims at achieving three Iraqi parts, which will be sectarian and ethnically pure as a prelude to the partition of Iraq. Within one or two years at the most, there will be total Sunni areas, total Shiite areas, and total Kurdish areas. Even in Baghdad, there is a fear that it might be divided into two areas, one Sunni and one Shiite.”

He went on, “I can say that President Bush is lying when he says he does not want Iraq to be partitioned. All the facts occurring now on the ground make you swear he is dragging Iraq to partition. And a day will come when he will say, ‘I cannot do anything, since the Iraqis want the partition of their country and I honor the wishes of the people of Iraq.’ ”

Nasrallah said he believed that America also wanted to bring about the partition of Lebanon and of Syria. In Syria, he said, the result would be to push the country “into chaos and internal battles like in Iraq.” In Lebanon, “There will be a Sunni state, an Alawi state, a Christian state, and a Druze state.” But, he said, “I do not know if there will be a Shiite state.” Nasrallah told me that he suspected that one aim of the Israeli bombing of Lebanon last summer was “the destruction of Shiite areas and the displacement of Shiites from Lebanon. The idea was to have the Shiites of Lebanon and Syria flee to southern Iraq,” which is dominated by Shiites. “I am not sure, but I smell this,” he told me.

Partition would leave Israel surrounded by “small tranquil states,” he said. “I can assure you that the Saudi kingdom will also be divided, and the issue will reach to North African states. There will be small ethnic and confessional states,” he said. “In other words, Israel will be the most important and the strongest state in a region that has been partitioned into ethnic and confessional states that are in agreement with each other. This is the new Middle East.”

In fact, the Bush Administration has adamantly resisted talk of partitioning Iraq, and its public stances suggest that the White House sees a future Lebanon that is intact, with a weak, disarmed Hezbollah playing, at most, a minor political role. There is also no evidence to support Nasrallah’s belief that the Israelis were seeking to drive the Shiites into southern Iraq. Nevertheless, Nasrallah’s vision of a larger sectarian conflict in which the United States is implicated suggests a possible consequence of the White House’s new strategy.

In the interview, Nasrallah made mollifying gestures and promises that would likely be met with skepticism by his opponents. “If the United States says that discussions with the likes of us can be useful and influential in determining American policy in the region, we have no objection to talks or meetings,” he said. “But, if their aim through this meeting is to impose their policy on us, it will be a waste of time.” He said that the Hezbollah militia, unless attacked, would operate only within the borders of Lebanon, and pledged to disarm it when the Lebanese Army was able to stand up. Nasrallah said that he had no interest in initiating another war with Israel. However, he added that he was anticipating, and preparing for, another Israeli attack, later this year.

Nasrallah further insisted that the street demonstrations in Beirut would continue until the Siniora government fell or met his coalition’s political demands. “Practically speaking, this government cannot rule,” he told me. “It might issue orders, but the majority of the Lebanese people will not abide and will not recognize the legitimacy of this government. Siniora remains in office because of international support, but this does not mean that Siniora can rule Lebanon.”

President Bush’s repeated praise of the Siniora government, Nasrallah said, “is the best service to the Lebanese opposition he can give, because it weakens their position vis-à-vis the Lebanese people and the Arab and Islamic populations. They are betting on us getting tired. We did not get tired during the war, so how could we get tired in a demonstration?”

There is sharp division inside and outside the Bush Administration about how best to deal with Nasrallah, and whether he could, in fact, be a partner in a political settlement. The outgoing director of National Intelligence, John Negroponte, in a farewell briefing to the Senate Intelligence Committee, in January, said that Hezbollah “lies at the center of Iran’s terrorist strategy… . It could decide to conduct attacks against U.S. interests in the event it feels its survival or that of Iran is threatened… . Lebanese Hezbollah sees itself as Tehran’s partner.”

In 2002, Richard Armitage, then the Deputy Secretary of State, called Hezbollah “the A-team” of terrorists. In a recent interview, however, Armitage acknowledged that the issue has become somewhat more complicated. Nasrallah, Armitage told me, has emerged as “a political force of some note, with a political role to play inside Lebanon if he chooses to do so.” In terms of public relations and political gamesmanship, Armitage said, Nasrallah “is the smartest man in the Middle East.” But, he added, Nasrallah “has got to make it clear that he wants to play an appropriate role as the loyal opposition. For me, there’s still a blood debt to pay”—a reference to the murdered colonel and the Marine barracks bombing.

Robert Baer, a former longtime C.I.A. agent in Lebanon, has been a severe critic of Hezbollah and has warned of its links to Iranian-sponsored terrorism. But now, he told me, “we’ve got Sunni Arabs preparing for cataclysmic conflict, and we will need somebody to protect the Christians in Lebanon. It used to be the French and the United States who would do it, and now it’s going to be Nasrallah and the Shiites.

“The most important story in the Middle East is the growth of Nasrallah from a street guy to a leader—from a terrorist to a statesman,” Baer added. “The dog that didn’t bark this summer”—during the war with Israel—“is Shiite terrorism.” Baer was referring to fears that Nasrallah, in addition to firing rockets into Israel and kidnapping its soldiers, might set in motion a wave of terror attacks on Israeli and American targets around the world. “He could have pulled the trigger, but he did not,” Baer said.

Most members of the intelligence and diplomatic communities acknowledge Hezbollah’s ongoing ties to Iran. But there is disagreement about the extent to which Nasrallah would put aside Hezbollah’s interests in favor of Iran’s. A former C.I.A. officer who also served in Lebanon called Nasrallah “a Lebanese phenomenon,” adding, “Yes, he’s aided by Iran and Syria, but Hezbollah’s gone beyond that.” He told me that there was a period in the late eighties and early nineties when the C.I.A. station in Beirut was able to clandestinely monitor Nasrallah’s conversations. He described Nasrallah as “a gang leader who was able to make deals with the other gangs. He had contacts with everybody.”



TELLING CONGRESS



The Bush Administration’s reliance on clandestine operations that have not been reported to Congress and its dealings with intermediaries with questionable agendas have recalled, for some in Washington, an earlier chapter in history. Two decades ago, the Reagan Administration attempted to fund the Nicaraguan contras illegally, with the help of secret arms sales to Iran. Saudi money was involved in what became known as the Iran-Contra scandal, and a few of the players back then—notably Prince Bandar and Elliott Abrams—are involved in today’s dealings.

Iran-Contra was the subject of an informal “lessons learned” discussion two years ago among veterans of the scandal. Abrams led the discussion. One conclusion was that even though the program was eventually exposed, it had been possible to execute it without telling Congress. As to what the experience taught them, in terms of future covert operations, the participants found: “One, you can’t trust our friends. Two, the C.I.A. has got to be totally out of it. Three, you can’t trust the uniformed military, and four, it’s got to be run out of the Vice-President’s office”—a reference to Cheney’s role, the former senior intelligence official said.

I was subsequently told by the two government consultants and the former senior intelligence official that the echoes of Iran-Contra were a factor in Negroponte’s decision to resign from the National Intelligence directorship and accept a sub-Cabinet position of Deputy Secretary of State. (Negroponte declined to comment.)

The former senior intelligence official also told me that Negroponte did not want a repeat of his experience in the Reagan Administration, when he served as Ambassador to Honduras. “Negroponte said, ‘No way. I’m not going down that road again, with the N.S.C. running operations off the books, with no finding.’ ” (In the case of covert C.I.A. operations, the President must issue a written finding and inform Congress.) Negroponte stayed on as Deputy Secretary of State, he added, because “he believes he can influence the government in a positive way.”

The government consultant said that Negroponte shared the White House’s policy goals but “wanted to do it by the book.” The Pentagon consultant also told me that “there was a sense at the senior-ranks level that he wasn’t fully on board with the more adventurous clandestine initiatives.” It was also true, he said, that Negroponte “had problems with this Rube Goldberg policy contraption for fixing the Middle East.”

The Pentagon consultant added that one difficulty, in terms of oversight, was accounting for covert funds. “There are many, many pots of black money, scattered in many places and used all over the world on a variety of missions,” he said. The budgetary chaos in Iraq, where billions of dollars are unaccounted for, has made it a vehicle for such transactions, according to the former senior intelligence official and the retired four-star general.

“This goes back to Iran-Contra,” a former National Security Council aide told me. “And much of what they’re doing is to keep the agency out of it.” He said that Congress was not being briefed on the full extent of the U.S.-Saudi operations. And, he said, “The C.I.A. is asking, ‘What’s going on?’ They’re concerned, because they think it’s amateur hour.”

The issue of oversight is beginning to get more attention from Congress. Last November, the Congressional Research Service issued a report for Congress on what it depicted as the Administration’s blurring of the line between C.I.A. activities and strictly military ones, which do not have the same reporting requirements. And the Senate Intelligence Committee, headed by Senator Jay Rockefeller, has scheduled a hearing for March 8th on Defense Department intelligence activities.

Senator Ron Wyden, of Oregon, a Democrat who is a member of the Intelligence Committee, told me, “The Bush Administration has frequently failed to meet its legal obligation to keep the Intelligence Committee fully and currently informed. Time and again, the answer has been ‘Trust us.’ ” Wyden said, “It is hard for me to trust the Administration.”

That is page one of five by one of America's most respected journalists, in fact the very same guy who broke the watergate scandal.

Read it or forever stfu.

Bush is supporting terrorists, and our enemies and is at war with our allies in Iraq.

stephanie
03-21-2007, 11:41 PM
Yeah right....

I'm going to believe Seymore Hersh instead of the Commanders and solders on the ground in Iraq....:poke:

loosecannon
03-21-2007, 11:50 PM
Yeah right....

I'm going to believe Seymore Hersh instead of the Commanders and solders on the ground in Iraq....:poke:


The commanders on the ground, esp the generals agree with Hirsch.

You really should try to learn about the real world instead of seeking refuge in abject ignorance, Dude.

People waste time delivering the truth to your screen and you play limp dick number 3.

Die ignorant, see if I care.

stephanie
03-21-2007, 11:52 PM
The commanders on the ground, esp the generals agree with Hirsch.

You really should try to learn about the real world instead of seeking refuge in abject ignorance, Dude.

People waste time delivering the truth to your screen and you play limp dick number 3.

Die ignorant, see if I care.

Awwwwwww, Your so cute missy...:laugh2:

5stringJeff
03-21-2007, 11:52 PM
Sure they do, are you forgetting all about the wars in the ME.

Christians strap bombs on themselves, on their airplanes, on tanks, on ships, in the magazines of their rifles.

Christians are all about bombs and bombin, esp US christians. US Christians LUV themselves some murder and bombin and torture.

But US Christians are a little more cowardly than Islamists.

That doesn't keep em from inventin ways to kill a million innocents and never gettin a scratch on themselves.

Christians are the killinist MFers in all of history actually.

And they took the most slaves, stole the most land, and tortured the most people.

The Devil loves Christians. They do his work for him.

You obviously don't understand Christianity, Christians, or Christ.

avatar4321
03-21-2007, 11:54 PM
I agree. Let's get out of Iraq and into Iran.

Gaffer
03-22-2007, 12:02 AM
well my first response would be :link:

Secondly that is one moonbats opinion. He lists no facts or documents to back up his statements. So you have narrowed it down that you are a shite jihadist. Thanks for the info, I can now zero in on your ideology better when insulting you.

:pee: islam

stephanie
03-22-2007, 12:06 AM
well my first response would be :link:

Secondly that is one moonbats opinion. He lists no facts or documents to back up his statements. So you have narrowed it down that you are a shite jihadist. Thanks for the info, I can now zero in on your ideology better when insulting you.

:pee: Islam


No worries it was by Seymour Hersh...
Nothing else need be said..

SassyLady
03-22-2007, 12:35 AM
You can't kill them all. The Middle East is full of crazy assholes.

We need to disengage from the region. If we are not there, they will kill each other. So let us remove ourselves and let them go at it.

Along with removing ourselves from the region, we need to get an American president who will actively work to make us independent of Middle Eastern oil. That includes mandating automobiles that use alternative fuel sources. Those automobiles are starting to be feasible for everyone to drive.

You make it sound like both sides are equal in power and will cancel each other out if we just get out of the way. :slap:

What an idiotic notion......in reality the stronger of the warring factions will annilihate the others and feeding upon their victory will gain more power and resources and where, OH WHERE, do you think they will direct their hatred? Do you really live in fantasyland thinking that if we just quietly sneak away and keep realllllllllllllly, reallllllllllly quiet and focus on creating our own oil resources ............they will forget we exist? (screaming and pulling my hair out with frustration).

What an absolutely moronic idea. :pee:

stephanie
03-22-2007, 12:40 AM
You make it sound like both sides are equal in power and will cancel each other out if we just get out of the way. :slap:

What an idiotic notion......in reality the stronger of the warring factions will annilihate the others and feeding upon their victory will gain more power and resources and where, OH WHERE, do you think they will direct their hatred? Do you really live in fantasyland thinking that if we just quietly sneak away and keep realllllllllllllly, reallllllllllly quiet and focus on creating our own oil resources ............they will forget we exist? (screaming and pulling my out with frustration).

What an absolutely moronic idea. :pee:

Exacty right on kurtsprincess...
It's astonishing to see how some people think those very things..???
It's a head shaker for me too...

But as least there are a majority of us who see the BIG PICTURE..:salute:

avatar4321
03-22-2007, 02:35 AM
You make it sound like both sides are equal in power and will cancel each other out if we just get out of the way. :slap:

What an idiotic notion......in reality the stronger of the warring factions will annilihate the others and feeding upon their victory will gain more power and resources and where, OH WHERE, do you think they will direct their hatred? Do you really live in fantasyland thinking that if we just quietly sneak away and keep realllllllllllllly, reallllllllllly quiet and focus on creating our own oil resources ............they will forget we exist? (screaming and pulling my hair out with frustration).

What an absolutely moronic idea. :pee:

History repeats itself because people don't learn from its lessons.

Chamberlain figured he would let easten Europe fend for itself. Hitler didn't need to be stopped cause he would be preoccupied with enemies in the east. Yet the second Hitler took control and supressed his enemies he turned on Western Europe.

If we pull out of Iraq like the Liberals want either Iran or Saudi Arabia will end up controlling the entire region including the oil reserves. More likely Iran.

The only way to peace is through Tehran

GW in Ohio
03-22-2007, 10:26 AM
I agree. Let's get out of Iraq and into Iran.

So you think Bush had successfully established the precedent with Iraq that we can invade whoever we take a fancy to invade?

Some of you conservatives think we can act like the schoolyard bully in the international arena. But the schoolyard bully eventually gets his ass kicked.

And everybody cheers when that happens.

CSM
03-22-2007, 11:37 AM
So you think Bush had successfully established the precedent with Iraq that we can invade whoever we take a fancy to invade?

Some of you conservatives think we can act like the schoolyard bully in the international arena. But the schoolyard bully eventually gets his ass kicked.

And everybody cheers when that happens.

The school yard wuss gets his ass kicked EVERY day...everybody cheers when that happens too!

GW in Ohio
03-22-2007, 11:40 AM
The school yard wuss gets his ass kicked EVERY day...everybody cheers when that happens too!

I like it that you guys don't even pretend to be nice, or decent.

I have a certain grudging respect for your "fuck you" attitude.

CSM
03-22-2007, 11:47 AM
I like it that you guys don't even pretend to be nice, or decent.

I have a certain grudging respect for your "fuck you" attitude.

??? Where did I say that ????

My point is that there are many in this world who just like watching or even instigating conflict (we call it trolling on these types of boards) no matter who is perceived as the bully or who is perceived as the wuss....and they really don't care as long as someone is whupping on someone. That is, until they are the one getting their ass whipped.

5stringJeff
03-22-2007, 12:48 PM
So you think Bush had successfully established the precedent with Iraq that we can invade whoever we take a fancy to invade?

Some of you conservatives think we can act like the schoolyard bully in the international arena. But the schoolyard bully eventually gets his ass kicked.

And everybody cheers when that happens.

Let's not forget, Congress authorized the war in Iraq.

avatar4321
03-22-2007, 01:11 PM
So you think Bush had successfully established the precedent with Iraq that we can invade whoever we take a fancy to invade?

Some of you conservatives think we can act like the schoolyard bully in the international arena. But the schoolyard bully eventually gets his ass kicked.

And everybody cheers when that happens.

Actually I think its because of what is going on Iraq that we will eventually need to take out Iran. Until we stop Iran from transporting troops and weapons into Iraq, we can't win in Iraq.

The Iranian regime will have to be toppled at some point. And I think we should do what we can to do that before they obtain nuclear weapons.

KitchenKitten99
03-22-2007, 01:13 PM
Along with removing ourselves from the region, we need to get an American president who will actively work to make us independent of Middle Eastern oil. That includes mandating automobiles that use alternative fuel sources. Those automobiles are starting to be feasible for everyone to drive.
When they come out with one that meets the following criteria (which both our cars do without fail), are you gonna buy it FOR me? I sure as hell can't afford a new car payment and don't want one.

Criteria for the kind of car you specify:
1. The car is actually attractive-looking and fun to drive. The Prius is the ugliest thing I have ever seen and boring as hell.
2. The car has enough room for 5 adults or 2 adults and 2 kids in bulky carseats and a large 60lb dog, along with a trunk (yes a trunk, NOT a hatchback) big enough to haul about a week's worth of groceries and a large bag of dog food.
3. The car has enough power to do the above mentioned tasks without strain.
4. The ability to do a few basic maintenence procedures and possible part replacement in your own garage without a computer or special tools needed.

glockmail
03-22-2007, 01:34 PM
So you think Bush had successfully established the precedent with Iraq that we can invade whoever we take a fancy to invade?

Some of you conservatives think we can act like the schoolyard bully in the international arena. But the schoolyard bully eventually gets his ass kicked.

And everybody cheers when that happens.

I'm starting to lose respect for you, GW. The US of A is not the school yard bully. In fact we are the nice upperclassman that quietly puts up with the bully until we decide that he needs his ass kicked, we warn him about that, we contact the principal (the UN) who does nothing, so the bully taunts us for a while, then when steps over the line we pound his ass. Then the principal cries and moans and complains.

-Cp
03-22-2007, 01:44 PM
GW still can't answer the question: "IF we pulled out of Iraq yesterday, then what?" Like other libs he has no solutions, it just feels good to feel bad about soldiers dying whom they don't care about except to further their liberal bias against the President by saying "Look how many have died so far"...

As if that argument somehow justifies every pulling out of any war...

Folks like him have impenetrable ignorance.

GW in Ohio
03-22-2007, 02:16 PM
Actually, I'd be okay with us withdrawing to the borders of Iraq to secure the borders. Let those crazy fuckers hash it out in the center of the country.

If we did that, the number of American casualties would drop close to zero.

If we withdrew to the borders, I'd agree to a longer American presence there.....2 years, maybe even 3.

My biggest problem is putting our people in the middle of a full-scale civil war (which, by the way, we precipitated by toppling Saddam).

Gaffer
03-22-2007, 11:05 PM
So you think Bush had successfully established the precedent with Iraq that we can invade whoever we take a fancy to invade?

Some of you conservatives think we can act like the schoolyard bully in the international arena. But the schoolyard bully eventually gets his ass kicked.

And everybody cheers when that happens.

we don't invade whoever we take a fancy too. We invade when the country has become a threat to the US and its allies and all other means have failed.

For us to withdraw to the borders would not accomplish anything. And if a soldier gets killed while we are there you will immediately start screaming that we have to pull out now.

The only withdraw to the border I want to see is in preparation for invasion of iran. Because sooner or later iran is going to try to sucker punch us.

If we take down iran the fighting in iraq will cease.

GW in Ohio
03-23-2007, 07:38 AM
Actually I think its because of what is going on Iraq that we will eventually need to take out Iran. Until we stop Iran from transporting troops and weapons into Iraq, we can't win in Iraq.

The Iranian regime will have to be toppled at some point. And I think we should do what we can to do that before they obtain nuclear weapons.

So we go into Iraq, stir up a hornet's nest, precipitate a civil war, and because of all the trouble we've stirred up, we need to also invade Iran?

You, and all of you who support that view, are as crazy as that crazy asshole who sits in the Oval Office and governs with an ever-dwindling percentage of public support. (What's his approval rating now? 25%?)

mundame
03-23-2007, 09:28 AM
The only withdraw to the border I want to see is in preparation for invasion of iran. Because sooner or later iran is going to try to sucker punch us.



Did that just now happen with the seizure of 15 British Marines by the Iranians in Iraqi waters?

mundame
03-23-2007, 09:31 AM
(What's his approval rating now? 25%?)


34.3%, the RealClearPolitics average of polls ending Mar. 11: range is 30% to 37%.

-Cp
03-23-2007, 10:39 AM
I finally found a pic of Gw-Ohio and a song dedicated to him:

http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/4/4c/Ray_bolger_scarecrow.jpg/180px-Ray_bolger_scarecrow.jpg

It's always best to start a the beginning - and all you do is follow the Yellow Brick Road.
Dorothy
Follow the Yellow Brick Road. Follow the Yellow Brick Road.
Munchkins
Follow the Yellow Brick Road. Follow the Yellow Brick Road.
Follow, follow, follow, follow,
Follow the Yellow Brick Road.
Follow the Yellow Brick, Follow the Yellow Brick, Follow the Yellow Brick Road.
You're off to see the Wizard, The Wonderful Wizard of Oz.
You'll find he is a whiz of a Wiz! If ever a Wiz! there was.
If ever oh ever a Wiz! there was The Wizard of Oz is one because,
Because, because, because, because, because.
Because of the wonderful things he does.
You're off to see the Wizard. The Wonderful Wizard of Oz.
Dorothy
Follow the Yellow Brick Road? Follow the Yellow Brick...? Well, now which way do we go
Dorothy
Follow the Yellow Brick Road? Follow the Yellow Brick...? Well, now which way do we go?
Scarecrow
Pardon me. That was is a very nice way.
Dorothy
Who said that?......
Dorothy
That's funny. Wasn't he pointing the other way?
Scarecrow
Of course, people do go both ways!
Dorothy
Are you doing that on purpose, or can't you make up your mind?
Scarecrow
That's the trouble. I can't make up my mind. I haven't got a brain, only straw.
Scarecrow
Oh, I'm a failure, because I haven't got a brain!
Dorothy
Well, what would you do with a brain if you had one?
Scarecrow
Do? Why, if I had a brain, I could -

GW in Ohio
03-23-2007, 11:21 AM
It's very flattering that you spend all that time on me, -Cp.

But maybe your time would be beter spent by..............................

reading the newspaper* so you know what's going on?

*The Washington Times, the op-ed page of the Wall Street Journal and Rush Limbaugh's self-congratulatory newsletter don't count as newspapers.

Hobbit
03-23-2007, 11:38 AM
It's very flattering that you spend all that time on me, -Cp.

But maybe your time would be beter spent by..............................

reading the newspaper* so you know what's going on?

*The Washington Times, the op-ed page of the Wall Street Journal and Rush Limbaugh's self-congratulatory newsletter don't count as newspapers.

The New York Times, LA Times, and the Washington Post don't count, either, especially the editorial pages. There are a great many sources of news in this country, and newspapers are losing both credibility and market share every day.

loosecannon
03-23-2007, 11:39 AM
newspapers are losing both credibility and market share every day.


Market share for certain.

Credibility? How so?

Hobbit
03-23-2007, 12:00 PM
newspapers are losing both credibility and market share every day.


Market share for certain.

Credibility? How so?

It seems like every week either the AP (which many newspapers use as a primary source) or some major national newspaper gets caught by some blogger either faking a news story, exaggerating a news story, editing pictures, and, in general, just making stuff up.

loosecannon
03-23-2007, 12:17 PM
It seems like every week either the AP (which many newspapers use as a primary source) or some major national newspaper gets caught by some blogger either faking a news story, exaggerating a news story, editing pictures, and, in general, just making stuff up.

OK, sad but true. But the exact same could be said about bloggers, policians of all stripes and positions and internet info sources, churches, universities, notable authors, hobbits.

What is your solution? What if anything can be done to restore credibility. Keep in mind that more than ever before disinfo, propaganda and revisionist history are mega business/mega government industries.

GW in Ohio
03-23-2007, 12:44 PM
No news source is 100% true, so it's a question of deciding which news source you find the most accurate.

Certainly, we can rule out anything coming from Rush Limbaugh or the Washington Times. It's not that there isn't anything true in the Washington Times; it is a legitimate source of news. But they have a (conservative) agenda and a (partisan) axe to grind, and this is reflected in which news stories they choose to cover, and from what perspective. The New York Times has a point of view, also, but it's less intrusive than the Wahington Times', I would say.

A partisan agenda doesn't even always mean that a newspaper lies. It can be reflected in which news they choose to put on p. 1 and which news they bury on p. 57. It's reflected in which picture of a political figure they choose to go with a story.....the one that makes him looks statesmanlike and thoughtful, or the one where he was caught picking his nose.

As far as news sources go, the TV news is crap; it's part entertainment and part smarmy emotionalism. I actually get a lot of my information from forums like this one. People are always cutting and pasting news stories and excerpts from one source or another.

loosecannon
03-23-2007, 01:03 PM
OK GW,

But what about the degradation or credibility gap in reporting. Are journalistic standards deteriorating?

If so, why and what to do about it?

GW in Ohio
03-23-2007, 01:27 PM
I don't know if journalistic standards are deteriorating.

I know we get cases like that guy at the New York Times who made stuff up. But each time something like that happens, the journalism community re-examines itself and tightens up the controls. So I think the instances of rogue journalism are aberrations, rather than a trend.

I also think people have access to more sources of news today than they did previously, and that's good. Somebody like Matt Drudge keeps the print and TV journalists honest by providing a little competition.

Hobbit
03-23-2007, 02:15 PM
Why do keep talking about Rush Limbaugh? Limbaugh is not a reporter. He is not a journalist. He's an opinionated personality with a microphone. He doesn't report the news. He talks about it. Calling Rush Limbaugh a biased news source is like calling Simon Cowell a terrible singer.

Birdzeye
03-23-2007, 02:19 PM
Why do keep talking about Rush Limbaugh? Limbaugh is not a reporter. He is not a journalist. He's an opinionated personality with a microphone. He doesn't report the news. He talks about it. Calling Rush Limbaugh a biased news source is like calling Simon Cowell a terrible singer.

However, many people regard Rush as a source of "news" and "information." It's only when others point out how little credibility Rush really has outside of dittohead circles, then the "but he's not really a journalist" argument comes out.

GW in Ohio
03-23-2007, 02:26 PM
Why do keep talking about Rush Limbaugh? Limbaugh is not a reporter. He is not a journalist. He's an opinionated personality with a microphone. He doesn't report the news. He talks about it. Calling Rush Limbaugh a biased news source is like calling Simon Cowell a terrible singer.

Hobbit: Believe it or not, I used to be a card-carrying right-winger.

Oh yes, my friend. During the Reagan years I carried a card that identified me as a member of the Ohio Republican Party, And I listened to Rush whenever possible. Back then, he definitely *was* a source of news. His program was one of the few places where you could hear news analysis and commentary from the conservative perspective.

I don't want to digress onto how sadly Limbaugh and his program have deteriorated. He's little more than a Pavlovian caricature these days, but people still do tune in to him for news and information from the conservative point of view.......

Birdzeye
03-23-2007, 02:47 PM
Hobbit: Believe it or not, I used to be a card-carrying right-winger.

Oh yes, my friend. During the Reagan years I carried a card that identified me as a member of the Ohio Republican Party, And I listened to Rush whenever possible. Back then, he definitely *was* a source of news. His program was one of the few places where you could hear news analysis and commentary from the conservative perspective.

I don't want to digress onto how sadly Limbaugh and his program have deteriorated. He's little more than a Pavlovian caricature these days, but people still do tune in to him for news and information from the conservative point of view.......


I remember when I first "met" you, GW, you certainly were quite a right winger.