stephanie
11-01-2008, 11:07 PM
you mean all them adoring youngsters fainting at his sermons was for nothing..:laugh2:
Obama campaign has contacted about one in three 18- to 29-year-oldsUSA Demographics Election 2008 Elections Government and Politics Americas Northern America by Frank Newport, Jeffrey M. Jones, and Lydia Saad
PRINCETON, NJ -- Gallup polling in October finds little evidence of a surge in young voter turnout beyond what it was in 2004. While young voter registration may be up slightly over 2004, the reported level of interest in the election and intention to vote among those under 30 are no higher than they were that year.
What's more, 18- to 29-year-olds continue to lag behind Americans aged 30 and older on these important turnout indicators.
As a result, 18- to 29-year-olds now constitute 12% of Gallup's traditional likely voter sample, basically the same as the estimate in the final 2004 pre-election poll (13%). Gallup's expanded likely voter model, which defines likely voters differently (on the basis of current voting intentions only), estimates a slightly higher proportion of young voters in the electorate (14%). However, even if the share of the youth vote were adjusted upward, doing so has little or no impact on the overall Obama-McCain horse-race numbers using either likely voter model.
It is possible that the 18- to 29-year-old share of the likely voter electorate will grow in the final days of the election. Although interest in the election and voting intentions usually increase as Election Day grows nearer, Gallup did not observe much of an increase from mid- to late October 2004, because interest was already at high levels (as it is this year).
read the rest..
http://www.gallup.com/poll/111685/Update-Little-Evidence-Surge-Youth-Vote.aspx
Obama campaign has contacted about one in three 18- to 29-year-oldsUSA Demographics Election 2008 Elections Government and Politics Americas Northern America by Frank Newport, Jeffrey M. Jones, and Lydia Saad
PRINCETON, NJ -- Gallup polling in October finds little evidence of a surge in young voter turnout beyond what it was in 2004. While young voter registration may be up slightly over 2004, the reported level of interest in the election and intention to vote among those under 30 are no higher than they were that year.
What's more, 18- to 29-year-olds continue to lag behind Americans aged 30 and older on these important turnout indicators.
As a result, 18- to 29-year-olds now constitute 12% of Gallup's traditional likely voter sample, basically the same as the estimate in the final 2004 pre-election poll (13%). Gallup's expanded likely voter model, which defines likely voters differently (on the basis of current voting intentions only), estimates a slightly higher proportion of young voters in the electorate (14%). However, even if the share of the youth vote were adjusted upward, doing so has little or no impact on the overall Obama-McCain horse-race numbers using either likely voter model.
It is possible that the 18- to 29-year-old share of the likely voter electorate will grow in the final days of the election. Although interest in the election and voting intentions usually increase as Election Day grows nearer, Gallup did not observe much of an increase from mid- to late October 2004, because interest was already at high levels (as it is this year).
read the rest..
http://www.gallup.com/poll/111685/Update-Little-Evidence-Surge-Youth-Vote.aspx