Midterm congressional elections and Presidential election

[MtnBiker]

An interesting look at Congressional mid term election and a lead up to Presidential election in the last 4 cycles;

1998 - Republicans 51.3% Democrats 48.5%, in 2000 Republican canidate wins the presidency

2002 - Republicans 51.3% Democrats 44.7%, in 2004 Republican canidate wins the presidency

2006 - Democrats 52% Republicans 44%, in 2008 Democrat canidate wins the presidency

2010 - Republicans 51.4% Democrats 44.8%, in 2012 ??? wins the presidency

[tailfins]

An interesting look at Congressional mid term election and a lead up to Presidential election in the last 4 cycles;

1998 - Republicans 51.3% Democrats 48.5%, in 2000 Republican canidate wins the presidency

2002 - Republicans 51.3% Democrats 44.7%, in 2004 Republican canidate wins the presidency

2006 - Democrats 52% Republicans 44%, in 2008 Democrat canidate wins the presidency

2010 - Republicans 51.4% Democrats 44.8%, in 2012 ??? wins the presidency

What's next, predicting the election based on how well the Red Sox do?

[MtnBiker]

No, looking at the mood of the electorate in the previous congressional cycle is a better indicator than a baseball game.

[gabosaurus]

No, looking at the mood of the electorate in the previous congressional cycle is a better indicator than a baseball game.

The mid terms elections are a response to more than just the office of President. In 1998, the electorate was not happy about the Clinton scandals and his disregard of his office. The 2002 elections were a kickback from Bush playing the 9-11 attacks to his advantage. The 2006 elections were just the opposite, with the American people realizing that they had been scammed.
I don't think 2010 will have that much effect. I think public opinion of Congress (both parties) is at an all time low. I believe a lot of incumbents will bit the dust, including many of those swept into power in 2010.

[logroller]

The mid terms elections are a response to more than just the office of President. In 1998, the electorate was not happy about the Clinton scandals and his disregard of his office. The 2002 elections were a kickback from Bush playing the 9-11 attacks to his advantage. The 2006 elections were just the opposite, with the American people realizing that they had been scammed.
I don't think 2010 will have that much effect. I think public opinion of Congress (both parties) is at an all time low. I believe a lot of incumbents will bit the dust, including many of those swept into power in 2010.

I do expect some incumbents to lose; but I don't know if many of the freshman will. But who knows; my congressman Is the majority whip: I know he ain't leavin.