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Kathianne
08-12-2012, 01:31 AM
Explain the picks:

http://washingtonexaminer.com/huge-crowds-line-manassas-streets-for-romney-ryan/article/2504666#.UCcJF0TgK9Y


Huge crowds line Manassas streets for Romney-Ryan August 11, 2012 | 12:00 am | Modified: August 11, 2012 at 6:20 pm

Susan Ferrechio, The Washington Examiner's crack congressional reporter traveling with the Romney-Ryan press bus troupe today, offers a photo of the crowds lining the streets of Manassas, Virginia, as the political caravan makes it way through downtown.



How to explain such crowds if Obama is leading in Virginia, one of the key swing states? Either the Romney advance team did a phenomenal job of generating interest before today, or there is a continuing surge in electoral momentum for insurgent change-agent candidates like that which powered the Republican sweep of the 2010 races.




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‘How to explain such crowds if Obama is leading in Virginia, one of the key swing states?’

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The difference between results in polls based on registered voters (which Obama leads, some by big margins) versus those based on likely voters (where Romney leads by a few points) may give us a clue to the answer to that question. The enthusiasm edge appears to be strongly in Romney-Ryan's favor, thanks most likely to the Tea Party's continued success in marshalling new participants in the political process - which would translate into an edge among likely voters.



Mark Tapscott is editorial page editor of The Washington Examiner and proprietor of Tapscott's CopyDesk blog on washingtonexaminer.com