Reuters/Ipsos: Obama ahead 48%-45%... after asking ***30%*** more Dems than Repubs

[Little-Acorn]

http://www.ipsos-na.com/download/pr.aspx?id=11965

Yes, another hugely skewed "poll" where they blithely asked 572 Democrats, and only 439 Republicans. That's 30% more Dems than Repubs.

Surprise, surprise! Obama came out ahead!

.....barely.

48% of "likely" voters would vote for Obama.
45% would vote for Romney.

or...

47% or "registered" voters would vote for Obama.
43% would vote for Romney.

Yes, after asking 30% more Democrats than Republicans, Obama gets a slight edge.

Does anybody think that 30% more Democrats will vote on Nov. 6, 2012, than Republicans?

-----------------------------

Keep in mind the past turnout patterns:

Year. . . Dem/GOP voters (million)
2006 . . . . 42/36 . . . non-Presidential election, after too high Repub govt deficits
2008 . . . . 69/60 . . . Presidential election, more high Repub deficits, huge enthusiasm for unknown Obama
2010 . . . . 36/41 . . . non-Presidential election, after HUGE Dem deficits and Obama's agenda is revealed
2012 . . . . ??/??. . . . Presidential election, after Americans find even more Obama agenda while Repubs fight tax and spending hikes
.

Turnout percentages were about the same in 2006 and 2008, and situations were roughly the same.

Situations are also roughly the same between 2010 and 2012. Is there any reason that turnout percentages for each party, should be significantly different between 2010 and 2012?

CONCLUSION: November 2012 is going to be a blowout. And all the ridiculously skewed polls the media can produce, won't change what's coming.

.

[gabosaurus]

So they knew whether these people were Dems, GOP or independent BEFORE they started asking the questions?

Darn these mind reading pollsters anyway!! :rolleyes:

[krisy]

So they knew whether these people were Dems, GOP or independent BEFORE they started asking the questions?

Darn these mind reading pollsters anyway!! :rolleyes:

Maybe I'm wrong,but to me,taking an accurate poll means they SHOULD know that number before asking,that would also give a better number on how many from either party are leaning the other way. You can't poll a Democratic leaning area then be suprised when the numbers lean Obama. SO the whole poll is worthless like most, for one reason or another.

[tailfins]

So they knew whether these people were Dems, GOP or independent BEFORE they started asking the questions?

Darn these mind reading pollsters anyway!! :rolleyes:

It's more likely they asked party affiliation at the end of the polling interview.