Little-Acorn
09-12-2012, 07:56 PM
http://www.ipsos-na.com/download/pr.aspx?id=11965
Yes, another hugely skewed "poll" where they blithely asked 572 Democrats, and only 439 Republicans. That's 30% more Dems than Repubs.
Surprise, surprise! Obama came out ahead!
.....barely.
48% of "likely" voters would vote for Obama.
45% would vote for Romney.
or...
47% or "registered" voters would vote for Obama.
43% would vote for Romney.
Yes, after asking 30% more Democrats than Republicans, Obama gets a slight edge.
Does anybody think that 30% more Democrats will vote on Nov. 6, 2012, than Republicans?
-----------------------------
Keep in mind the past turnout patterns:
Year. . . Dem/GOP voters (million)
2006 . . . . 42/36 . . . non-Presidential election, after too high Repub govt deficits
2008 . . . . 69/60 . . . Presidential election, more high Repub deficits, huge enthusiasm for unknown Obama
2010 . . . . 36/41 . . . non-Presidential election, after HUGE Dem deficits and Obama's agenda is revealed
2012 . . . . ??/??. . . . Presidential election, after Americans find even more Obama agenda while Repubs fight tax and spending hikes
.
Turnout percentages were about the same in 2006 and 2008, and situations were roughly the same.
Situations are also roughly the same between 2010 and 2012. Is there any reason that turnout percentages for each party, should be significantly different between 2010 and 2012?
CONCLUSION: November 2012 is going to be a blowout. And all the ridiculously skewed polls the media can produce, won't change what's coming.
.
Yes, another hugely skewed "poll" where they blithely asked 572 Democrats, and only 439 Republicans. That's 30% more Dems than Repubs.
Surprise, surprise! Obama came out ahead!
.....barely.
48% of "likely" voters would vote for Obama.
45% would vote for Romney.
or...
47% or "registered" voters would vote for Obama.
43% would vote for Romney.
Yes, after asking 30% more Democrats than Republicans, Obama gets a slight edge.
Does anybody think that 30% more Democrats will vote on Nov. 6, 2012, than Republicans?
-----------------------------
Keep in mind the past turnout patterns:
Year. . . Dem/GOP voters (million)
2006 . . . . 42/36 . . . non-Presidential election, after too high Repub govt deficits
2008 . . . . 69/60 . . . Presidential election, more high Repub deficits, huge enthusiasm for unknown Obama
2010 . . . . 36/41 . . . non-Presidential election, after HUGE Dem deficits and Obama's agenda is revealed
2012 . . . . ??/??. . . . Presidential election, after Americans find even more Obama agenda while Repubs fight tax and spending hikes
.
Turnout percentages were about the same in 2006 and 2008, and situations were roughly the same.
Situations are also roughly the same between 2010 and 2012. Is there any reason that turnout percentages for each party, should be significantly different between 2010 and 2012?
CONCLUSION: November 2012 is going to be a blowout. And all the ridiculously skewed polls the media can produce, won't change what's coming.
.