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Gunny
05-21-2018, 06:19 PM
May 21, 2018
By Lesley Wroughton and Parisa Hafezi
WASHINGTON/ANKARA (Reuters) – The United States on Monday demanded Iran make sweeping changes — from dropping its nuclear program to pulling out of the Syrian civil war — or face severe economic sanctions as the Trump administration hardened its approach to Tehran.
Iran dismissed Washington’s ultimatum and one senior Iranian official said it showed the United States is seeking “regime change” in Iran.
Weeks after President Donald Trump pulled out of an international nuclear deal with Iran, his administration threatened to impose “the strongest sanctions in history,” and vowed to “crush” Iranian operatives abroad, setting Washington and Tehran further on a course of confrontation.
U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo demanded sweeping changes that would force Iran effectively to reverse the recent spread of its military and political influence through the Middle East to the shores of the Mediterranean Sea.
The speech added to the tension between the two countries, which grew notably when Trump this month withdrew from the 2015 international agreement aimed at preventing Tehran from obtaining a nuclear weapon.
If Washington sees tangible shifts in Iran’s policies, it is prepared to lift sanctions, Pompeo said.
“The sting of sanctions will only grow more painful if the regime does not change course from the unacceptable and unproductive path it has chosen for itself and the people of Iran,” Pompeo said in his first major speech since becoming secretary of state.
“These will be the strongest sanctions in history by the time we are done,” he added.
The European Union largely dismissed Pompeo’s speech and said it remained committed to the full implementation of the nuclear deal.
Pompeo took aim at Iran’s policy of expansion in the Middle East through support for armed groups in countries such as Syria, Lebanon and Yemen.
He warned that the United States would “crush” Iranian operatives and proxies abroad and told Tehran to pull out forces under its command from the Syrian civil war where they have helped President Bashar al-Assad gain the upper hand.
Iran’s president summarily dismissed Pompeo’s demands.
“Who are you to decide for Iran and the world?,” the semi-official ILNA news agency quoted Hassan Rouhani as saying.
“The world today does not accept America to decide for the world, as countries are independent … that era is over … We will continue our path with the support of our nation.”
A senior Iranian official said Pompeo’s remarks showed that the United States was pushing for “regime change,” a charged phrase often associated with the U.S. invasion of Iraq in 2003 and the overthrow of President Saddam Hussein.
Pompeo warned that if Iran fully resumed its nuclear program Washington would be ready to respond and said the administration would hold companies doing prohibited business in Iran to account (http://www.oann.com/pompeo-says-u-s-to-impose-tough-sanctions-on-iran/#).
“Our demands on Iran are not unreasonable: give up your program,” Pompeo said, “Should they choose to go back, should they begin to enrich, we are fully prepared to respond to that as well,” he said, declining to elaborate.
Pompeo said Washington would work with the Defense Department and allies to counter Iran in the cyberspace and maritime areas.
The Pentagon said it would take all necessary steps to confront Iranian behavior in the region and was assessing whether that could include new actions or doubling down on current ones.
Pompeo will have an uphill battle convincing European allies to sign on to the administration’s “Plan B” on Iran after its withdrawal from the nuclear deal, formally known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA).
“Secretary Pompeo’s speech has not demonstrated how walking away from the JCPOA has made or will make the region safer from the threat of nuclear proliferation or how it puts us in a better position to influence Iran’s conduct in areas outside the scope of JCPOA. There is no alternative to the JCPOA,” the EU said in a statement.
NAMING NAMES
Pompeo said if Iran made major changes, the United States was prepared to ease sanctions, re-establish full diplomatic and commercial relations and support the country’s re-integration into the international economic system.
Any new U.S. sanctions will raise the cost of trade for Iran and are expected to further deter Western companies from investing (http://www.oann.com/pompeo-says-u-s-to-impose-tough-sanctions-on-iran/#) there, giving hardliners, including the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, an opportunity to cement their grip on power.
Iran’s ruling elite (http://www.oann.com/pompeo-says-u-s-to-impose-tough-sanctions-on-iran/#) are mindful of recent protests sparked by economic hardship, which is, in part, their calculation for working (http://www.oann.com/pompeo-says-u-s-to-impose-tough-sanctions-on-iran/#) with the Europeans on ways to salvage the nuclear deal.
Pompeo’s speech did not explicitly call for regime change but he repeatedly urged the Iranian people not to put up with their leaders, specifically naming Rouhani and Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif.
“At the end of the day the Iranian people will get to make a choice about their leadership,” Pompeo said.
Suzanne Maloney, deputy director of the Brooking Institution think tank’s foreign policy program, said Pompeo’s speech did indeed amount to a strategy of regime change.
“There is only one way to read it and that is that Trump administration has wedded itself to a regime-change strategy to Iran, one that is likely to alienate our allies. One with dubious prospects for success,” she said.
The administration’s approach “explicitly puts the onus on the Iranian people to change their leadership or face cataclysmic financial pressure,” said Maloney who has advised the State Department on Iran in the Bush administration between 2005-2007.
Lebanese analyst Ghaleb Kandil, who has close ties to the pro-Iran Hezbollah group, said Washington’s demands have previously not worked.
“These are conditions that were tested in previous phases of American pressures, before the nuclear deal, when Iran was in more difficult circumstances than it is in these days, and it did not surrender to these conditions or accept them,” said Kandil.
Pompeo outlined 12 U.S. demands for Iran including to stop uranium enrichment, never to pursue plutonium reprocessing and to close its heavy water reactor.
It also had to declare all previous military dimensions of its nuclear program and to permanently and verifiably abandon such work, he said.
Pompeo’s demand that Tehran stop uranium enrichment goes even further than the nuclear deal. Iran says its nuclear work has medical uses and will produce energy to meet domestic demand and complement its oil reserves.
Washington’s regional allies, the Gulf Arabs and Israel, who were strong critics of the deal, praised the administration’s position on Monday.
European parties to the nuclear deal – France, Britain and Germany – are working to find a way to keep the nuclear pact in effect after Washington’s exit.
(Reporting by Lesley Wroughton and Parisa Hafezi; Writing by Lesley Wroughton and Yara Bayoumy; Additional reporting by Parisa Hafezi in Ankara, Jonathan Landay and Idrees Ali in Washington, Laila Bassam in Beirut, Ari Rabinovitch in Jerusalem, Dubai newsroom, Francois Murphy and Alastair Macdonald in Brussels; Editing by Yara Bayoumy and Alistair Bell)
http://www.oann.com/pompeo-says-u-s-to-impose-tough-sanctions-on-iran/

I saw a comment in the Jerusalem Post the other day that said "Israel Beat Hamas but Gained Nothing." That's kind of how I feel about this bullshit with Iran. Iran doesn't care what we do. They aren't going to stop. Trump cannot defeat them economically. It hasn't worked since 1980 and it's not going to work today.

He's put us at odd with our "Shaky Jake" allies over it. Some warmongers and chest thumpers need to take good long draw on some oxygen and let REAL facts instead of emotion driven tough guy-ness seep into their noggins.

And don't try shooting the messenger. He shoots back. There is a World outside the boundaries of the United States and most of it doesn't like us and half of it wants to destroy us. A lot of it is our own doing especially recently with all the threats of sanctions for any and everything that comes along.

You can't sanction a bullet, bomb or a missile.

Gunny
05-21-2018, 08:27 PM
Ir
anian Foreign Minister Javad Zarif has condemned the US for promising to impose the "strongest sanctions in history" on his country.
Measures outlined by Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, he said, showed the US was a prisoner of its "failed policies" and it would suffer the consequences.
EU foreign policy chief Federica Mogherini also criticised the US.
She said Mr Pompeo had failed to show how dropping the 2015 nuclear deal would make the Middle East safer.
There was, she said, "no alternative" to the agreement, which US President Donald Trump vowed earlier this month to abandon, and she said the EU would stick by it if Iran met its commitments.
Despite the EU's official position, some of Europe's biggest firms who rushed to do business with Iran after the nuclear deal (http://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-44205463#) now find themselves forced to choose between investing (http://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-44205463#) there or trading with the US.


Could the Iran deal collapse? (http://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-43888265)
Does US 'Plan B' on Iran risk war? (http://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-44202587)
The impact of Iran sanctions - in charts (http://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-44052734)

What did Pompeo announce?US sanctions lifted after the 2015 deal would be re-imposed, he said, and those and new measures would together constitute "unprecedented financial pressure (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-44200621) on the Iranian regime".
He set out conditions for any new deal with Iran, including the withdrawal of its forces from Syria and an end to its support for rebels in Yemen.
The older US sanctions prohibited almost all trade with Iran.
Mr Pompeo did not say what new measures Washington was contemplating but described sanctions imposed last week on the head of Iran's central bank as "just the beginning".


What is the nuclear accord? (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-33521655)

Iran is one of the world's largest oil producers, and the export of oil and gas is worth billions of dollars each year.
https://ichef-1.bbci.co.uk/news/624/cpsprodpb/11CB6/production/_101668827_irancustomers-nc.pngBoth the country's oil output and its GDP fell noticeably under international sanctions.
The sanctions will not be re-imposed on Tehran immediately but are subject to three-month and six-month wind-down periods.
How else did Iran respond?Mr Zarif said America was "regressing to old habits" but his country was working with other partners to the nuclear deal in order to find a solution.
Iranian President Hassan Rouhani launched a personal attack on Mike Pompeo, questioning his credibility as a former CIA chief to make decisions for Iran and the world.
https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/624/cpsprodpb/604B/production/_97415642_007_in_numbers_624.pngA diplomatic smokescreen?Analysis by Jonathan Marcus, BBC diplomatic correspondent
This is the US "Plan B" for Iran - to step up the sanctions pressure, to force the Tehran government into a new diplomatic deal. It would need to accept broader constraints not just on its nuclear activities but also on its missile programme and wider behaviour in the region.
It is certainly tough but may be totally unrealistic. For sanctions to work they must be comprehensive. The pressure that brought about the JCPOA deal that President Trump has now abandoned was long-standing and widely supported. Now Washington's European allies want to stick with the existing deal. Russia, China and India are unlikely to bow to US pressure.
Compelling allies and other countries to abandon trade with Iran risks damaging a whole series of wider diplomatic relationships.
Critics may charge that this "policy" is impossible - a diplomatic smokescreen intended to cloak a policy whose fundamental goal is regime change in Iran.
Read Jonathan's analysis in full (http://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-44202587)
https://ichef-1.bbci.co.uk/news/624/cpsprodpb/C50B/production/_101534405_presentational_grey_line464-nc.pngWhy is Iran seen as a regional threat?It has spread its influence across parts of the Middle East where there are large communities of fellow Shia Muslims, from Iraq to Lebanon.
Its support for Lebanon's Hezbollah movement is particularly alarming for Israel while Saudi Arabia, another bitter enemy, accuses the Iranians of equipping rebels in Yemen.
In the Syrian civil war, it is one of President Bashar al-Assad's few outside allies, sending thousands of fighters and military advisers.


Israel v Iran in 300 words (http://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-44068897)
Lebanon caught in Saudi-Iran tension (http://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-41942867)

Is the US on its own?Israel praised the Trump administration's decision to pull out of the pact but the move was roundly criticised by fellow signatories, including France, Germany, the UK and Russia.
All of the above signatories pledged to honour their commitments under the deal (http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-44090948).
Mr Pompeo has made clear he expects the backing of his allies in Europe but also called for support from "Australia, Bahrain, Egypt, India, Japan, Jordan, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, South Korea [and] the UAE".
What was agreed under the 2015 deal?The Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) saw Iran agree to limit the size of its stockpile of enriched uranium - which is used to make reactor fuel but also nuclear weapons - for 15 years and the number of centrifuges installed to enrich uranium for 10 years.
Iran also agreed to modify a heavy water facility so it could not produce plutonium suitable for a bomb.
In return, sanctions imposed by the UN, US and EU that had crippled Iran's economy were lifted.
The deal was agreed between Iran and the five permanent members of the UN Security Council - the US, UK, France, China and Russia - plus Germany.
Iran insists its nuclear programme is entirely peaceful, and its compliance with the deal has been verified by the IAEA.


http://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-44205463

I'm curious. I want to see what happens if all those countries tell the US to piss off. There has to be a certain point where we aren't wort what anyone's paying for.

Don't get me wrong. I'd just as soon quit pussying around and blow Iran off the map. It's just another one of those FUBAR issues we've let drag on for decades because no one wanted to do anything about it when it would have been easy.

I disagree with EU twit that says there is no other option. Yeah, there is. Stop sucking d*ck because you're afraid of your own shadow. Taken a good look at what Islam has done for Europe lately?

Pompeo expects all the countries on his laundry list to back the US. Not seeing it.