LongTermGuy
10-08-2018, 03:36 PM
For what its worth...normally Its "shown" the other way around...But interesting read...
".............. Every new poll coming out is uniformly showing middle Americans fleeing from the
Democrats while a once-mildly apathetic Republican Party has been ginned up to energetic levels
equal to the Democratic base.
Further trouble for the much-hyped blue wave is that black voters are trending against
Democrats, participating in the #walkawaymovement and viewing the Kavanaugh
moment very differently from white Democrats. Given the reliance of the Democratic
Party on the monolithic black vote, this portends disaster for blue — but possible
salvation for the nation.
An NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll released last week found that the enthusiasm gap
between Democrats and Republicans has been erased. The poll asked registered
members of each party if they believe the election is “very important.” The gap was
running 10-15 points since mid-summer in favor of Democrats. Now it is at 2 points, well
within the margin of error, as GOP enthusiasm increased 12 points.
**The most recent IBD/TIPP poll (https://www.investors.com/politics/trump-approval-rating-ibd-tip-poll/) also found that the Democrats’ 11-point advantage in the
generic ballot was essentially gone. It’s now down to 2 points. The poll also found that
President Trump gained 4 points in his approval rating, and 7 points in the Presidential
Leadership Index. It’s an improvement at least in part by way of contrast with the
horrible sight of the Democratic left.
The newest Quinnipiac poll, which leans left, found that the Democratic generic
congressional ballot advantage has been cut in half. And since mid-September, the Real
Clear Politics average of polls (https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2018/10/05/trump_2020_138259.html) showed Trump’s approval climbing more than three points.
And buried in a Quinnipiac poll are some numbers that should rock Democrats back on their heals:
Two weeks ago, white women were favoring Democrats on a generic congressional ballot by 13 points.
One week later it was down to five points. In the latest poll, it is at one point. These are
the vaunted suburban female voters that Democrats having been targeting because of
their supposed discomfort with Trump. But it turns out they have sons and husbands, and watching what happened to Brett Kavanaugh has not sat well.
Individual race polls are also tracking strongly the same direction.
In the Missouri Senate race, Republican Josh Hawley now leads incumbent Sen. Claire
McCaskill — with virtually all of the movement coming in reaction to the Kavanaugh
hearings. In North Dakota, Republican Kevin Cramer now has a huge lead over Sen. Heidi
Heitkamp in two polls — 10 percent and 12 percent. In Indiana, Democratic Sen. Joe
Donnelly has a one point lead (https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/senate/indiana/) over Republican Mike Braun. It was six points two weeks
ago. (This race includes a Libertarian, which is often a spoiler for Republicans.)
A recent YouGov poll (https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/) showed Republican Rep. Marsha Blackburn with an eight point lead
over former Democratic Gov. Phil Bredesen for the open Tennessee seat. This seat was
targeted by the Democrats as a pickup possibility.
Republican pollster Chris Wilson says she’s seen Republican polling gains in Arizona,
Montana, Nevada, North Dakota and Texas — just in one week, according to the
McClatchy (https://www.mcclatchydc.com/news/politics-government/election/midterms/article219488090.html) news service.
Meanwhile, the National Republican Congressional Committee reported late last week
that its small-dollar donations ballooned 175% over the previous week — again, largely
based on the Kavanaugh hearings. This means more than just the money increase, it
goes directly to the rising GOP voter enthusiasm in the most tangible way..................................."
Polls, sources and links here: https://therevolutionaryact.com/crush-new-polls-show-democrats-free-fall/
>>***Now, we all know better than to trust polls, especially after 2016. Then again, many on
.....the right realized that year that they can still go vote, and win, in spite of what the media....
is saying! I guess what I mean is that in spite of these optimistic polls, those of us on the
right won't use it as an excuse to stay at home, thinking we have it won. No, we will still
turn out in record numbers for an off-season, mid-term election! So take all those polls
with a grain of salt................... but let them encourage you even more to get out the
vote!!
https://therevolutionaryact.com/crush-new-polls-show-democrats-free-fall/
".............. Every new poll coming out is uniformly showing middle Americans fleeing from the
Democrats while a once-mildly apathetic Republican Party has been ginned up to energetic levels
equal to the Democratic base.
Further trouble for the much-hyped blue wave is that black voters are trending against
Democrats, participating in the #walkawaymovement and viewing the Kavanaugh
moment very differently from white Democrats. Given the reliance of the Democratic
Party on the monolithic black vote, this portends disaster for blue — but possible
salvation for the nation.
An NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll released last week found that the enthusiasm gap
between Democrats and Republicans has been erased. The poll asked registered
members of each party if they believe the election is “very important.” The gap was
running 10-15 points since mid-summer in favor of Democrats. Now it is at 2 points, well
within the margin of error, as GOP enthusiasm increased 12 points.
**The most recent IBD/TIPP poll (https://www.investors.com/politics/trump-approval-rating-ibd-tip-poll/) also found that the Democrats’ 11-point advantage in the
generic ballot was essentially gone. It’s now down to 2 points. The poll also found that
President Trump gained 4 points in his approval rating, and 7 points in the Presidential
Leadership Index. It’s an improvement at least in part by way of contrast with the
horrible sight of the Democratic left.
The newest Quinnipiac poll, which leans left, found that the Democratic generic
congressional ballot advantage has been cut in half. And since mid-September, the Real
Clear Politics average of polls (https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2018/10/05/trump_2020_138259.html) showed Trump’s approval climbing more than three points.
And buried in a Quinnipiac poll are some numbers that should rock Democrats back on their heals:
Two weeks ago, white women were favoring Democrats on a generic congressional ballot by 13 points.
One week later it was down to five points. In the latest poll, it is at one point. These are
the vaunted suburban female voters that Democrats having been targeting because of
their supposed discomfort with Trump. But it turns out they have sons and husbands, and watching what happened to Brett Kavanaugh has not sat well.
Individual race polls are also tracking strongly the same direction.
In the Missouri Senate race, Republican Josh Hawley now leads incumbent Sen. Claire
McCaskill — with virtually all of the movement coming in reaction to the Kavanaugh
hearings. In North Dakota, Republican Kevin Cramer now has a huge lead over Sen. Heidi
Heitkamp in two polls — 10 percent and 12 percent. In Indiana, Democratic Sen. Joe
Donnelly has a one point lead (https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/senate/indiana/) over Republican Mike Braun. It was six points two weeks
ago. (This race includes a Libertarian, which is often a spoiler for Republicans.)
A recent YouGov poll (https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/) showed Republican Rep. Marsha Blackburn with an eight point lead
over former Democratic Gov. Phil Bredesen for the open Tennessee seat. This seat was
targeted by the Democrats as a pickup possibility.
Republican pollster Chris Wilson says she’s seen Republican polling gains in Arizona,
Montana, Nevada, North Dakota and Texas — just in one week, according to the
McClatchy (https://www.mcclatchydc.com/news/politics-government/election/midterms/article219488090.html) news service.
Meanwhile, the National Republican Congressional Committee reported late last week
that its small-dollar donations ballooned 175% over the previous week — again, largely
based on the Kavanaugh hearings. This means more than just the money increase, it
goes directly to the rising GOP voter enthusiasm in the most tangible way..................................."
Polls, sources and links here: https://therevolutionaryact.com/crush-new-polls-show-democrats-free-fall/
>>***Now, we all know better than to trust polls, especially after 2016. Then again, many on
.....the right realized that year that they can still go vote, and win, in spite of what the media....
is saying! I guess what I mean is that in spite of these optimistic polls, those of us on the
right won't use it as an excuse to stay at home, thinking we have it won. No, we will still
turn out in record numbers for an off-season, mid-term election! So take all those polls
with a grain of salt................... but let them encourage you even more to get out the
vote!!
https://therevolutionaryact.com/crush-new-polls-show-democrats-free-fall/