jimnyc
04-07-2020, 10:23 AM
Is WHO and the CDC to be blamed as much by the left as well? 3.4% death rate from WHO? A couple of million dead from the CDC? I don't think so, and the blame game from the left, IMO, only makes them look pathetic.
Things have been evolving, and quite quickly. They have numbers, they don't want to scare the hell out of everyone, but also need to keep folks informed. They do their best, and then the folks they report things to relay information to others, and the masses. Whether that be Trump, Birx, Fauci, Biden, doctors, nurses.... and of course they all also get information from leading doctors and scientists. A whole lot to digest and a lot in a short amount of time and then things evolve and change quickly.
Right or wrong at times, it ALL sucks, but it's what is needed. Definitely the social distancing and common sense things to stay clean. Stay informed and up to date. Wish for the best and prepare for the worst. I would much rather be prepared and see some things that suck, and live to tell about it... as opposed to taking things lightly, having money in pockets, no preparation or a care in the world, and if they are right and then some, you\ll have money in your pocket in a casket in a funeral home and your loved ones watching online via cam.
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CDC Director: Coronavirus Death Toll Will Be ‘Much, Much, Much Lower’ than Projected
Appearing Monday on AM 1030 KVOI Radio, Dr. Robert Redfield, the Director of the Centers for Disease Control (CDC), predicted that the death toll from the Chinese coronavirus will be “much, much, much lower” than the models have projected due to Americans following social distancing recommendations.
HOST: We were talking about some of the models, whether it’s from the imperial college guy in England or the University of Washington. Thank god some of these numbers are falling short of some of these catastrophic numbers. Tell me about the dynamic of the modeling and how it helps and influences decision making and then, when the reality comes in, how does the decision making transform?
DR. ROBERT REDFIELD: I think it’s really important. First, models are only as good as their assumptions. Obviously, there was a lot unknown about this virus. The ability to actively make a lot of assumptions was much wider than if this was an Influenza B outbreak. Second thing, I will say from a public health perspective, to me, the real value of models is to have a model and then try to understand — if I invest resources here, what does that do to the model? If I invest in intervention strategies here, what does that do to the model? It’s a way of beta testing how you’re going to respond and what it does to the different models. And models should never be used to assume that we have a number. You saw those numbers are quite staggering. You’ve got 200,000 to 2 million Americans are losing their lives before the fall. That’s a pretty staggering number.
HOST: Are throwing those kind of numbers out actually helpful because what they do is scare the hell out of everyone to social distance? Is that the purpose?
DR. REDFIELD: I think different people may look at it in different ways in terms of transparency. CDC had models early on. We didn’t really publicize the models. We used them internally to understand deviation strategies. I think part of the importance of getting the American public’s attention that these models did, we really need the American public to be fully engaged now with great rigor and vigilance on the social distancing. As you pointed out, those models that were done, they assume only about 50 percent of the American public would pay attention to the recommendations. In fact, what we’re seeing is a large majority of the American public are taking the social distancing recommendations to heart. And I think that’s the direct consequence of why you’re seeing the numbers are going to be much, much, much lower than would have been predicted by the models.
https://www.breitbart.com/health/2020/04/07/cdc-director-coronavirus-death-toll-will-be-much-much-much-lower-than-projected/
Things have been evolving, and quite quickly. They have numbers, they don't want to scare the hell out of everyone, but also need to keep folks informed. They do their best, and then the folks they report things to relay information to others, and the masses. Whether that be Trump, Birx, Fauci, Biden, doctors, nurses.... and of course they all also get information from leading doctors and scientists. A whole lot to digest and a lot in a short amount of time and then things evolve and change quickly.
Right or wrong at times, it ALL sucks, but it's what is needed. Definitely the social distancing and common sense things to stay clean. Stay informed and up to date. Wish for the best and prepare for the worst. I would much rather be prepared and see some things that suck, and live to tell about it... as opposed to taking things lightly, having money in pockets, no preparation or a care in the world, and if they are right and then some, you\ll have money in your pocket in a casket in a funeral home and your loved ones watching online via cam.
--
CDC Director: Coronavirus Death Toll Will Be ‘Much, Much, Much Lower’ than Projected
Appearing Monday on AM 1030 KVOI Radio, Dr. Robert Redfield, the Director of the Centers for Disease Control (CDC), predicted that the death toll from the Chinese coronavirus will be “much, much, much lower” than the models have projected due to Americans following social distancing recommendations.
HOST: We were talking about some of the models, whether it’s from the imperial college guy in England or the University of Washington. Thank god some of these numbers are falling short of some of these catastrophic numbers. Tell me about the dynamic of the modeling and how it helps and influences decision making and then, when the reality comes in, how does the decision making transform?
DR. ROBERT REDFIELD: I think it’s really important. First, models are only as good as their assumptions. Obviously, there was a lot unknown about this virus. The ability to actively make a lot of assumptions was much wider than if this was an Influenza B outbreak. Second thing, I will say from a public health perspective, to me, the real value of models is to have a model and then try to understand — if I invest resources here, what does that do to the model? If I invest in intervention strategies here, what does that do to the model? It’s a way of beta testing how you’re going to respond and what it does to the different models. And models should never be used to assume that we have a number. You saw those numbers are quite staggering. You’ve got 200,000 to 2 million Americans are losing their lives before the fall. That’s a pretty staggering number.
HOST: Are throwing those kind of numbers out actually helpful because what they do is scare the hell out of everyone to social distance? Is that the purpose?
DR. REDFIELD: I think different people may look at it in different ways in terms of transparency. CDC had models early on. We didn’t really publicize the models. We used them internally to understand deviation strategies. I think part of the importance of getting the American public’s attention that these models did, we really need the American public to be fully engaged now with great rigor and vigilance on the social distancing. As you pointed out, those models that were done, they assume only about 50 percent of the American public would pay attention to the recommendations. In fact, what we’re seeing is a large majority of the American public are taking the social distancing recommendations to heart. And I think that’s the direct consequence of why you’re seeing the numbers are going to be much, much, much lower than would have been predicted by the models.
https://www.breitbart.com/health/2020/04/07/cdc-director-coronavirus-death-toll-will-be-much-much-much-lower-than-projected/