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    Default NOAA Scientists Falsify Data to Dupe World Leaders on Climate Change


    NOAA Scientists Falsify Data to Dupe World Leaders on Climate Change
    Scientific sleight-of-hand pushed economy-hobbling Paris Agreement
    By Selwyn Duke • 02/14/17 12:30pm

    ANTARCTICA - OCTOBER 27: An iceberg floats near the coast of West Antarctica as seen from a window of a NASA Operation IceBridge airplane on October 27, 2016 in-flight over Antarctica. NASA's Operation IceBridge has been studying how polar ice has evolved over the past eight years and is currently flying a set of 12-hour research flights over West Antarctica at the start of the melt season. Researchers have used the IceBridge data to observe that the West Antarctic Ice Sheet may be in a state of irreversible decline directly contributing to rising sea levels. NASA and University of California, Irvine (UCI) researchers have recently detected the speediest ongoing Western Antarctica glacial retreat rates ever observed. The United Nations climate change talks begin November 7 in the Moroccan city of Marrakech.

    Don’t worry about warming—we’re actually due for a deep freeze.

    Call it faux science facilitating fake news—or just call it dangerous. Either way it amounts to a shocking revelation: Scientists with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) falsified data to dupe world leaders into signing the Paris Agreement on climate change.

    Warmists have long had a problem: the last 20 years of stable or even declining temperatures, a phenomenon making a mockery of their computer models and doomsday predictions. Their answer was the “Pausebuster” paper, esoterically titled “Possible artifacts of data biases in the recent global surface warming hiatus” and strategically released via the influential journal Science—just six months before the Paris conference.

    But the answer was artifice, reveals whistleblower Dr. John Bates, a man who’d futilely resisted the NOAA’s book-cooking and until last year was one the agency’s two “principal” climate-issue scientists.

    The paper made a sensational claim, reported the Daily Mail this past weekend, “that contrary to what scientists have been saying for years, there was no ‘pause’ or ‘slowdown’ in global warming in the early 21st Century. Indeed, this ‘Pausebuster’ paper…claimed the rate of warming was even higher than before, making ‘urgent action’ imperative.”

    But the NOAA’s urgent action, says Dr. Bates, was to manipulate what’s known as the “version 4” dataset. The agency “took reliable readings from buoys but then ‘adjusted’ them upwards—using readings from seawater intakes on ships that act as weather stations,” writes the Mail. “They did this even though readings from the ships have long been known to be too hot.”

    Shockingly, ignoring Dr. Bates’ protestations, the agency delayed “publication of the version 4 sea dataset several months after it was ready—to intensify the impact of the Pausebuster paper,” the Mail further reveals.

    The Mail concludes that this scientific sleight-of-hand “unquestionably” helped convince world leaders to sign the economy-hobbling Paris Agreement.

    The NOAA revelations are shades of the 2009 “Climategate” scandal, in which hacked emails from the University of East Anglia’s Climatic Research Unit indicated that its scientists were suppressing information contrary to their global-warming agenda. A similar batch of 5,000 emails released in 2011 showed likewise and, furthermore, reported Forbes, illustrated that the “scientists view global warming as a political ‘cause’ rather than a balanced scientific inquiry” and that “many of these scientists frankly admit to each other that much of the science is weak and dependent on deliberate manipulation of facts and data.”

    Unfortunately, scientific fraud is far more prevalent than commonly believed—and not just in climate science. For example, the BMJ (formerly the British Medical Journal) reported in January 2012 that “[o]ne in seven U.K. based scientists or doctors has witnessed colleagues intentionally altering or fabricating data during their research or for the purposes of publication, found a survey of more than 2,700 researchers conducted by the BMJ.” The BMJ reported later that year, “Fraud, not error, is why two thirds of biomedical papers are withdrawn” (emphasis added).

    Greenpeace cofounder Dr. Patrick Moore wrote in 2015 that there ‘is no scientific proof’ of the global-warming hypothesis and alarmist predictions are ‘preposterous.’

    This situation may only get worse, too, if the actions of the National Science Foundation (NSF) are any guide. While numerous instances of plagiarism and data manipulation and fabrication were found “in proposals, NSF-funded research, and agency publications in 2015 and 2016,” reported the Washington Free Beacon Sunday, NSF officials ignored its own ethics watchdog and refused to sanction some of the transgressing academics and scientists.

    This raises a troubling question: How can we make correct decisions on policy if we’re fed misinformation? As with a computer, it’s garbage in, garbage out.

    This helps explain why climate skepticism—nay, realism—is so prevalent, and not just among conservatives. For example, Greenpeace cofounder Dr. Patrick Moore wrote in 2015 that there “is no scientific proof” of the global-warming hypothesis and that alarmist predictions are “preposterous.”

    One reason to hope this is true is that some experts say there’s nothing we could do about climate change, anyway. Just consider how the head of the Copenhagen Consensus Center stated last month that lowering the temperature 3/10ths of one degree by the century’s end—meaning, delaying “global warming” less than four years—would cost $100 trillion.

    No, that’s not a typo—but it is five times our national debt.

    Speaking of incredible figures, it’s often said that 97 percent of scientists agree with the anthropogenic climate-change thesis. Yet it turns out this is about as accurate as NOAA data; whatever the figure is, it’s far less than 97. In fact, the Boston Globe reported just yesterday that “[m]any meteorologists question climate change science.”

    How significant is consensus, anyway? As late writer Michael Crichton pointed out in a brilliant 2003 Caltech Michelin lecture, consensus is a term of politics—not science. “Consensus is invoked only in situations where the science is not solid enough,” he stated. “Nobody says the consensus of scientists agrees that E=mc2. Nobody says the consensus is that the sun is 93 million miles away. It would never occur to anyone to speak that way.”

    Of course, the climate is certainly changing; it always has. The Earth has seen at least five major ice ages, and perhaps was completely blanketed with snow and ice during the Cryogenian period; at another time, snow and ice were virtually absent from the planet. We also experience 100,000-year glacial periods followed by (warmer) 12,000-year interglacials, with 1500-year cycles of heating and cooling embedded within.

    Oh, we’re currently in an interglacial that has lasted, well, approximately 12,000 years—meaning, we’re due for a deep freeze.

    So Newsweek might have been correct when, after decades of decreasing temperatures, it ran a 1975 story titled “The Cooling World.” This is the more fearsome prospect, too. Studies show that cold weather is a far greater killer than heat and that most of humanity would benefit from rising temperatures. In fact, Professor S. Fred Singer, a founding director of the Science & Environmental Policy Project, warned in 2015 of an impending ice age and advised we “try to figure out how to prevent such cooling episodes, if possible.”

    This makes sense because warmth breeds life. Why do you think the tropics boast more than 10 times as many species as the Arctic?

    But what of CO2, that global-warming bugaboo? First, it’s not “carbon” any more than H2O is hydrogen, nor is it a pollutant. It’s plant food. Thus was the dinosaurs’ Mesozoic Era—with CO2 levels 5 to 10 times today’s—characterized by lush foliage. It’s why botanists pump the gas into greenhouses and why as its levels increase, so do crop yields. A plant in a low-CO2 environment is like a human trying to breathe at Mount Everest’s summit.

    Speaking of which, “astrobiologist Jack O’Malley-James warned in 2013 that life on Earth will experience a CO2-related demise—resulting from too little of the gas,” as I wrote at The Hill last month. “The idea is that an ever-hotter sun will cause greater evaporation, over time reducing carbon dioxide levels to a point where plants will be unable to survive. Luckily, this doesn’t occur until 1,000,000,000 A.D., approximately and supposedly.”

    So, warmer, colder, higher CO2, lower, stormier—which way to go? Maybe we should all just sing “We Didn’t Start the Fire.” Or we could console ourselves with the knowledge that there’s one kind of disaster we likely never have to fret over.

    The one everybody else is fretting over.

    The consensus of “elite” doomsayers didn’t predict the fall of Rome, Black Plague, WWII or anything else of note. Do you think now, suddenly, they’ve found their crystal ball? Disaster is to be expected, but it’s always the unexpected.

    Meanwhile, the seas rise and fall, loves are found and lost, babies are born and life will continue—until it doesn’t.
    Truth that will be denied or ignored by the usual dishonorable , lying suspects, worldwide!
    Globalist agenda says global warming is real, so it can implement its policies.. Fact.---Tyr
    18 U.S. Code § 2381-Treason Whoever, owing allegiance to the United States, levies war against them or adheres to their enemies, giving them aid and comfort within the United States or elsewhere, is guilty of treason and shall suffer death, or shall be imprisoned not less than five years and fined under this title but not less than $10,000; and shall be incapable of holding any office under the United States.

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    An opinion piece at the observer! It must be true!
    http://www.factcheck.org/2017/02/no-...ation-at-noaa/

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    Quote Originally Posted by pete311 View Post
    An opinion piece at the observer! It must be true!
    http://www.factcheck.org/2017/02/no-...ation-at-noaa/
    How about someone from the NOAA?

    A high-level whistleblower at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has revealed



    -----

    A high-level whistleblower at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has revealed that the organization published manipulated data in a major 2015 report on climate change in order to maximize impact on world leaders at the UN climate conference in Paris in 2015.
    According to a report in The Mail on Sunday, NOAA scientist Dr. John Bates has produced “irrefutable evidence” that the NOAA study denying the “pause” in global warming in the period since 1998 was based on false and misleading data.

    The NOAA study was published in June 2015 by the journal Science under the title “Possible artifacts of data biases in the recent global surface warming hiatus.”

    Dr. Bates accused the lead author of the paper, Thomas Karl, of “insisting on decisions and scientific choices that maximized warming and minimized documentation.” Bates says that Karl did so “in an effort to discredit the notion of a global warming pause, rushed so that he could time publication to influence national and international deliberations on climate policy.”

    Bates said that NOAA bypassed its own protocol, never subjecting the report to NOAA’s strict internal evaluation process. Rather, NOAA superiors rushed the study through in a “blatant attempt to intensify the impact” of the paper on the Paris meeting on climate change, he said.

    http://www.breitbart.com/big-governm...is-conference/
    “You know the world is going crazy when the best rapper is a white guy, the best golfer is a black guy, the tallest guy in the NBA is Chinese, the Swiss hold the America's Cup, France is accusing the U.S. of arrogance, Germany doesn't want to go to war, and the three most powerful men in America are named "Bush", "Dick", and "Colin." Need I say more?” - Chris Rock

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    Everyone remember ClimateGate a while back, when a hack revealed Hadley Center in the UK manipulating data and colluding to drive the Global Warming agenda despite evidence to the contrary?

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/comment/c...eneration.html

    Yeah, guess who the 'scientists' at NOAA defending their research are referencing?

    Hadley.

    Sounds like a pretty desperate move to me - "Hey, those guys that got caught with ClimateGate said we're legit!"

    Here's a few problems with what NOAA was doing :

    The sea dataset used by Thomas Karl and his colleagues – known as Extended Reconstructed Sea Surface Temperatures version 4, or ERSSTv4, tripled the warming trend over the sea during the years 2000 to 2014 from just 0.036C per decade – as stated in version 3 – to 0.099C per decade. Individual measurements in some parts of the globe had increased by about 0.1C and this resulted in the dramatic increase of the overall global trend published by the Pausebuster paper. But Dr Bates said this increase in temperatures was achieved by dubious means. Its key error was an upwards ‘adjustment’ of readings from fixed and floating buoys, which are generally reliable, to bring them into line with readings from a much more doubtful source – water taken in by ships. This, Dr Bates explained, has long been known to be questionable: ships are themselves sources of heat, readings will vary from ship to ship, and the depth of water intake will vary according to how heavily a ship is laden – so affecting temperature readings.

    Dr Bates said: ‘They had good data from buoys. And they threw it out and “corrected” it by using the bad data from ships. You never change good data to agree with bad, but that’s what they did – so as to make it look as if the sea was warmer.’


    ERSSTv4 ‘adjusted’ buoy readings up by 0.12C. It also ignored data from satellites that measure the temperature of the lower atmosphere, which are also considered reliable. Dr Bates said he gave the paper’s co-authors ‘a hard time’ about this, ‘and they never really justified what they were doing.’


    Now, some of those same authors have produced the pending, revised new version of the sea dataset – ERSSTv5. A draft of a document that explains the methods used to generate version 5, and which has been seen by this newspaper, indicates the new version will reverse the flaws in version 4, changing the buoy adjustments and including some satellite data and measurements from a special high-tech floating buoy network known as Argo. As a result, it is certain to show reductions in both absolute temperatures and recent global warming.


    The second dataset used by the Pausebuster paper was a new version of NOAA’s land records, known as the Global Historical Climatology Network (GHCN), an analysis over time of temperature readings from about 4,000 weather stations spread across the globe.


    The unstable land readings: Scientists at NOAA used land temperature data from 4,000 weather stations (pictured, one in Montana, USA). But the software used to process the figures was bug-ridden and unstable. NOAA also used 'unverified' data that was not tested or approved. This data as merged with unreliable sea surface temperatures +8
    The unstable land readings: Scientists at NOAA used land temperature data from 4,000 weather stations (pictured, one in Montana, USA). But the software used to process the figures was bug-ridden and unstable. NOAA also used 'unverified' data that was not tested or approved. This data as merged with unreliable sea surface temperatures


    The 'adjusted' sea readings: Average sea surface temperatures are calculated using data from weather buoys (pictured). But NOAA ‘adjusted’ these figures upwards to fit with data taken from ships – which is notoriously unreliable. This exaggerated the warming rate, allowing NOAA to claim in the paper dubbed the ‘Pausebuster’ that there was no ‘pause’ +8
    The 'adjusted' sea readings: Average sea surface temperatures are calculated using data from weather buoys (pictured). But NOAA ‘adjusted’ these figures upwards to fit with data taken from ships – which is notoriously unreliable. This exaggerated the warming rate, allowing NOAA to claim in the paper dubbed the ‘Pausebuster’ that there was no ‘pause’


    This new version found past temperatures had been cooler than previously thought, and recent ones higher – so that the warming trend looked steeper. For the period 2000 to 2014, the paper increased the rate of warming on land from 0.15C to 0.164C per decade.


    In the weeks after the Pausebuster paper was published, Dr Bates conducted a one-man investigation into this. His findings were extraordinary. Not only had Mr Karl and his colleagues failed to follow any of the formal procedures required to approve and archive their data, they had used a ‘highly experimental early run’ of a programme that tried to combine two previously separate sets of records.


    This had undergone the critical process known as ‘pairwise homogeneity adjustment’, a method of spotting ‘rogue’ readings from individual weather stations by comparing them with others nearby.


    However, this process requires extensive, careful checking which was only just beginning, so that the data was not ready for operational use. Now, more than two years after the Pausebuster paper was submitted to Science, the new version of GHCN is still undergoing testing.


    Moreover, the GHCN software was afflicted by serious bugs. They caused it to become so ‘unstable’ that every time the raw temperature readings were run through the computer, it gave different results. The new, bug-free version of GHCN has still not been approved and issued. It is, Dr Bates said, ‘significantly different’ from that used by Mr Karl and his co-authors.


    Dr Bates revealed that the failure to archive and make available fully documented data not only violated NOAA rules, but also those set down by Science. Before he retired last year, he continued to raise the issue internally. Then came the final bombshell. Dr Bates said: ‘I learned that the computer used to process the software had suffered a complete failure.’


    The reason for the failure is unknown, but it means the Pausebuster paper can never be replicated or verified by other scientists.


    The flawed conclusions of the Pausebuster paper were widely discussed by delegates at the Paris climate change conference. Mr Karl had a longstanding relationship with President Obama’s chief science adviser, John Holdren, giving him a hotline to the White House.
    Lots more : http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencete...ming-data.html


    Sounds to me like NOAA needs a top-to-bottom housecleaning just like the EPA is about to experience. 0bama's corruption runs deep; it may be easier to scrap it and start over.
    Interdum feror cupidine partium magnarum Europae vincendarum

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    Serious Good "Climate Change" taking effect.....




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